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CFB Experiment: Help Me Rate Your Team For This Season!

  • GoingLightBarny said...

    so by saying that no one is a 1 in coaching or talent, you are throwing out the metrics.

    it's okay, call it what you want... the metric is 0 for absolute worst, 20 for perfect.

    there is no 0 and no 20, so why is every damn team at 15?

    oh, yeah, cuz MY thinking is f-werded.... i can't, historically, think of a 20, but i know it is possible... a 20 would be the best coach ever and all 5 star players.

    that is possible, right?

    so then it is possible to have all no star recruits and the worst coach ever.

    it's okay, all your teams are the same. every team is in the top 25

    Ok, I can live with that. A team doesn't have to be all 5 stars though, I would give the 95 Huskers a 20 rating and they were not full of 5 stars. Who would you consider the best team and what would you rank them then? My main problem with what you put was Baylor at 12.5 and Nebraska at 13.5, our coaching and talent is well above Baylors, is 1 point that big the way you see it? I would like to add, I never said everyone was a 15, not one time did I say that.

    This post was edited by huskerrule on 6/9/2011 at 8:13 PM

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    huskerrule

  • SpartanRocky said...

    It's the current level of talent on your team, as you see it. Most guys are doing it according to their 2-deep. For a school that develops talent well, you may well have an 8 rating, even though you have a lot of "3-star" (aka, "mid-level") recruits.

    I know for MSU I have to take into account 4-star busts like Antonio Jeremiah and Fred Smith, but also 2-star studs like Trenton Robinson, Le'Veon Bell and Darqueeze Dennard. That's not to mention guys like Worthy, and Greg Jones before him, who have exceeded their 3-star "rep".

    FYI, care to chime in about Minny, IU, Northwestern, Purdue and Illinois? Those guys don't have 247 sites (well, except for IU and I've gotten a grand total of 1 response from them).

    My values for those 5 (I'm going to count my vote here unless there are objections, because I'm a big 10 alum/fan and know these schools pretty well)

    Minnesota: Talent: 4 Coaching: 5

    Indiana: Talent: 3, Coaching: 5

    Northwestern: Talent: 3.5 Coaching: 9 (I think Fitz does more with less than just about anyone)

    Purdue: Talent: 3, Coaching: 3.5

    Illinois: Talent: 5.5, Coaching: 6.0 (only because Petrino and Koenig look like competent assistants)

    I live within a stones throw from Bloomington. Attend a few smack downs a year and keep up on the program.. My opinion is talent 3.5 and coaching will go with 5. Have decided all new coaching staffs will start out as a 5.

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    star69

  • Rivver said...

    Then those people are morons. 2 national title games (2008 should have been 3) is not "less with more."

    Have to agree with Barny.. With Brown owning the state of TX, would have expected more from the talent they have collected. Look at UF, they have to compete with 2 other programs and the SEC, and still won 2 NC's. Would give Brown and his new staff a 6.5, being generous, until proven otherwise.

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    star69

  • Rivver said...

    Interesting.

    Talent - Using Rivals to compare recruiting classes going back to 2002 (farthest it goes), Texas has won the recruiting battle 6-4 over Oklahoma. We can't really use the 2011 class (5-4) and I would argue the 2010 class is largely irrelevant as true freshman rarely have an impact on the team (4-4). Seems the talent has been pretty equal, no?

    NC - Texas has been 2 times while Oklahoma has been 4 times. Going back to 2008, Texas should have advanced after beating Oklahoma, but due to stupid tie breaker rules we didn't. All three teams (Texas, TT, OU) were 1-1 against each other while Texas was the only team without a home loss. Seems nc appearances should be equal as well at 3-3, no?

    You said teams which is plural, still waiting on those others.

    2010 class largely irrelevant? Not a fan of the Sooner's, but I do believe they had Jefferson starting in the secondary and WR named Stills starting from the 1st game. So I don't think you could call them irrelevant.

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    star69

  • Oryhara said...

    The losses to Ron Prince are THAT inexcusable.

    In 2007 you were 15.5 point favorites and lost 41-21.

    In 2006 you were favored by 17.5 points when ranked number 4 and lost 45-42.

    Show up against crappy teams and make more title games.

    nvm

    This post was edited by Rivver on 6/9/2011 at 9:08 PM

    Rivver

  • star69 said...

    Have to agree with Barny.. With Brown owning the state of TX, would have expected more from the talent they have collected. Look at UF, they have to compete with 2 other programs and the SEC, and still won 2 NC's. Would give Brown and his new staff a 6.5, being generous, until proven otherwise.

    nvm

    This post was edited by Rivver on 6/9/2011 at 9:08 PM

    Rivver

  • star69 said...

    2010 class largely irrelevant? Not a fan of the Sooner's, but I do believe they had Jefferson starting in the secondary and WR named Stills starting from the 1st game. So I don't think you could call them irrelevant.

    nvm

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by Rivver on 6/9/2011 at 9:09 PM

    Rivver

  • huskerrule said...

    Ok, I can live with that. A team doesn't have to be all 5 stars though, I would give the 95 Huskers a 20 rating and they were not full of 5 stars. Who would you consider the best team and what would you rank them then? My main problem with what you put was Baylor at 12.5 and Nebraska at 13.5, our coaching and talent is well above Baylors, is 1 point that big the way you see it? I would like to add, I never said everyone was a 15, not one time did I say that.

    I am talking about 5 star talent, not 5 star recruits.

    your squad really has no true identity. seriously... the defense is strong, but are they blackshirts? no. they are not...

    your offense is completely confused. a lot of the problems reflect on the coaches. so they basically gave up on the passing game last year and ended up in a read option, which is effective, in doses... you want more points for that? or you want more coaching points because you have a new offensive coordinator, one who was under mangino, which, in essense, is not much of a coordinator job at all, but he could have learned a lot. preseason-wise, and spring game wise, they have not looked much better, but it is early... so they lose a bunch of coaching points.

    in reality, though, i am not sure pelini could climb past a 7.5 anyway, as he is only defense, and he just doesn't appear to have what it takes to get to that next level... he is too swayed by this and that, and his flip-outs and near mutiny at nebbish don't help his ratings, man...

    talent-wise, you have good, solid, talent, but who stands out besides Crick and Dennard on defense and Martinez on offense... lost helu and what's-his-name... everything is just unproven...

    so yeah, just really, waaaay too low for a new OC, a new conference, and the problems listed

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    GoingLightBarny

  • GoingLightBarny said...

    I am talking about 5 star talent, not 5 star recruits.

    your squad really has no true identity. seriously... the defense is strong, but are they blackshirts? no. they are not...

    your offense is completely confused. a lot of the problems reflect on the coaches. so they basically gave up on the passing game last year and ended up in a read option, which is effective, in doses... you want more points for that? or you want more coaching points because you have a new offensive coordinator, one who was under mangino, which, in essense, is not much of a coordinator job at all, but he could have learned a lot. preseason-wise, and spring game wise, they have not looked much better, but it is early... so they lose a bunch of coaching points.

    in reality, though, i am not sure pelini could climb past a 7.5 anyway, as he is only defense, and he just doesn't appear to have what it takes to get to that next level... he is too swayed by this and that, and his flip-outs and near mutiny at nebbish don't help his ratings, man...

    talent-wise, you have good, solid, talent, but who stands out besides Crick and Dennard on defense and Martinez on offense... lost helu and what's-his-name... everything is just unproven...

    so yeah, just really, waaaay too low for a new OC, a new conference, and the problems listed

    The D has been top 10 the last 2 years, I would say that is fairly Blackshirtesque.

    The O will look nothing like last year, Watson was completely out of his element trying to coach and call a Zone read based offense. He is a WCO guy, plain and simple, the offense couldn't be any worse then the crap we saw at the end of last year. Remember though, that crappy, confused offense put 17 on you guys before that interception sent them into a tailspin. That was kind of their MO after Martinez got injured. I disagree with you on Pelini getting to that next level, but I understand others not seeing it. He has to prove it to the nation and that will involve winning a conference championship.

    Now as for players, you have to factor in potential. Every team is going to have new guys coming into spots and incoming freshman. Aaron Green, Braylon Heard and Ameer Abdullah are 3 freshman RBs coming in that are all quick electric backs that will see significant time, they have to be factored in.

    Others standing out on D you have to automatically think of Lavonte David, the 1st team All Big XII, 2nd team All American LB. On Offense we have Rex Burkhead, who isnt flashy but is about as dependable as it gets. He rushed for 990 yards, 5.5 ypc avg, 7 tds, caught 15 passes for 148 yards and passing the ball he went 3-4 with 3 tds. Not bad for a #2 RB. The WRs are a question mark though, Jamal Turner is an incoming freshman who will get the ball a lot, he is a 4 star former QB out of Texas that switched to WR, lightning quick, you should watch some of his highlights.

    After seeing how you ranked OU, my problem wasn't how you ranked NU, I guess I have more of a problem with you rating Baylor at a 12.5.

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    huskerrule

  • huskerrule said...

    The D has been top 10 the last 2 years, I would say that is fairly Blackshirtesque.

    The O will look nothing like last year, Watson was completely out of his element trying to coach and call a Zone read based offense. He is a WCO guy, plain and simple, the offense couldn't be any worse then the crap we saw at the end of last year. Remember though, that crappy, confused offense put 17 on you guys before that interception sent them into a tailspin. That was kind of their MO after Martinez got injured. I disagree with you on Pelini getting to that next level, but I understand others not seeing it. He has to prove it to the nation and that will involve winning a conference championship.

    Now as for players, you have to factor in potential. Every team is going to have new guys coming into spots and incoming freshman. Aaron Green, Braylon Heard and Ameer Abdullah are 3 freshman RBs coming in that are all quick electric backs that will see significant time, they have to be factored in.

    Others standing out on D you have to automatically think of Lavonte David, the 1st team All Big XII, 2nd team All American LB. On Offense we have Rex Burkhead, who isnt flashy but is about as dependable as it gets. He rushed for 990 yards, 5.5 ypc avg, 7 tds, caught 15 passes for 148 yards and passing the ball he went 3-4 with 3 tds. Not bad for a #2 RB. The WRs are a question mark though, Jamal Turner is an incoming freshman who will get the ball a lot, he is a 4 star former QB out of Texas that switched to WR, lightning quick, you should watch some of his highlights.

    After seeing how you ranked OU, my problem wasn't how you ranked NU, I guess I have more of a problem with you rating Baylor at a 12.5.

    baylor is returning 19 starters on their best year ever.

    and they had a hell of a coup with getting bennett, a hell of a good defensive coordinator...

    look. i am saying, also, that right now, on paper, Ok State is better than we are. they don't have a bunch of stupid committees for their coordinators, and they have blackmon, weeden, and a host of others coming back. now, losing holgerson is bad, but they got it down, and their secondary is 1 year better.

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    GoingLightBarny

  • SEC - East
    Kentucky Talent (6.5) Coaching (6.5)

    blue mold

  • Quick update here:

    Well, I went and posted a link to this on every single 247 site since I started this thread. Response has been pretty good so far, but now I have to check 30+ boards every day because not everyone came to this thread. There's good discussion going on in the Auburn, Miami (Fl), Ga Tech and Ohio State groups.

    I've got a hectic work day and have to travel this weekend, so I'll update the top page on Sunday. I really appreciate everyone's contributions, and this thread, other than the Big XII fight on page 8-9, has been a lot of fun so far. As a Big 10 guy, it's great to see how other conferences and fanbases interact. Our home site was independent for a long time, so I was a little apprehensive about 247. As you can see by my (excessive) post count, I've really come to appreciate what this place has to offer. It's really cool to be able to jump over and get an Ohio State perspective on something, then check in on Penn State, Iowa and Wisconsin. The Auburn and Bama sites are pretty entertaining, as is Maryland and South Carolina.

    Anyone else ready for football?

    This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by SpartanRocky on 6/10/2011 at 9:24 AM

    Michigan State does not and will not run the 3-4 defense.

    SpartanRocky

  • star69 said...

    Have to agree with Barny.. With Brown owning the state of TX, would have expected more from the talent they have collected. Look at UF, they have to compete with 2 other programs and the SEC, and still won 2 NC's. Would give Brown and his new staff a 6.5, being generous, until proven otherwise.

    Go back and read my long post (I understand if you skipped it, it was long). But Florida winning two titles is by faaar the exception, not the rule. Spurrier only got one in his 12 years and even that one came with a loss during the year.

    Read my long post. People today just seem to have limited historical perspective for some reason on how hard it is to win it all. If it was easy for the elite programs, why did Texas go 35 years without one? Michigan went 49 years. Ohio State went 32 years. USC went 25 years.

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    jadennis

  • Oryhara said...

    The losses to Ron Prince are THAT inexcusable.

    In 2007 you were 15.5 point favorites and lost 41-21.

    In 2006 you were favored by 17.5 points when ranked number 4 and lost 45-42.

    Show up against crappy teams and make more title games.

    But see, you act like this is a Mack Brown problem (and you have but 3 examples in 10 years for your B12-North scenario).

    Check out Pete Carroll. Probably more talent than Texas, yet he lost to Oregon St (in 06 and 08), UCLA, and what is the biggest upset in football history (by line), Stanford. If Mack Brown did less with more, then so did Pete Carroll.

    Take Stoops. In his tenure he's lost to Colorado, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, West Virginia, Boise St, etc. By your standards he should only have, at most, ever, a single loss, to Texas. Every other loss he has is to a team with less talent. So doesn't he also do "less with more"?

    Tom Osborne had three undefeated seasons, but all at the very end of his career. The first 21 years he went 206-47-3 yet never had an undefeated season. I haven't looked at every year, but the fact is he lost games. He either lost to teams that were less talented (so he "did less with more"), or he loss to teams that were as good as him (so you could say "he can't win the big game").

    Seeing a trend here? EVERY great coach with top notch talent does "less with more" for at least one or two games in MOST years. That's why someone like Osborne has three undefeated seasons in 25 years. Or Spurrier has ZERO undefeated seasons in 12 years. Bob Devaney had one in 11 years. Darrell Royal had 2 in 20 years. John McKay had 2 in 16 years. Nick Saban has 1 in 9 years (AL and LSU combined).

    Again, the fact is, it's just really, really hard to win it all. I'm not sure why Mack Brown is held to a higher standard than other legendary coaches who ALSO only won or played for a couple championships in 12+ years (some in 20+ years).

    The top programs in the history of the sport only have a handful of undefeated seasons (out of 100+ seasons). Why is that? Again, they either "did less with more" or they "couldn't win the big one". Otherwise programs like USC, Florida, Texas, Ohio State, Oklahoma, Nebraska, etc would have undefeated seasons at least one out of every three.

    This post was edited by jadennis on 6/10/2011 at 10:17 AM

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    jadennis

  • jadennis said...

    Go back and read my long post (I understand if you skipped it, it was long). But Florida winning two titles is by faaar the exception, not the rule. Spurrier only got one in his 12 years and even that one came with a loss during the year.

    Read my long post. People today just seem to have limited historical perspective for some reason on how hard it is to win it all. If it was easy for the elite programs, why did Texas go 35 years without one? Michigan went 49 years. Ohio State went 32 years. USC went 25 years.

    I see what you are saying. Think bad coaching had a lot to do with those long droughts by the teams mentioned above. Use my team for example horrible coaching, since Holtz roamed the sideline.

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    star69

  • Maryland:
    Talent: 7.0 O'Brien and Tate are flat out studs and theres a strong collection of talent elsewhere, lots of youth though

    Coaching: 7.5 I think Edsall is a good head coach, and Crowton has put up gaudy numbers as an oc early in each of his stops and with a QB as talented as O'Brien. Bradford at the moment really drags down the staff as DC. Hull, Gattuso, Brattan are really strong position coaches and the rest are a solid mix of experienced coaches and a couple youngsters. A good group for sure.

    BklynTerp

  • This being a 10 point based system has me think of your typical 100% grading system.

    I see my Sooners have an average so far of 17 (8.5/8.5)

    For talent purposes I understand 247's focus on recruiting and those stars that represent prospects. But in evaluating OU's current talent base the 2010 freshman class wasn't their best recruiting class from a stars point of view, but from the staff's point of view, program insiders, and performance last years class is amongst the best classes of the Stoops era.

    Also take into account that Broyles, Jones, and Lewis all are returning, and another Top 10 class I see it hard to make a case that there is another roster in America right now that is clearly more talented.

    Now there is a the fact that some programs have a 10 average right now in talent (just a cursory look showed alabama and LSU) but to me a 10 would be an all time talent level team and I don't see that right now, so I'll go OU 9.5 (if not for the 10's already being given I'd of only given the Sooners a 9.

    Coaching: last years staff I believe was as good as any staff in the country top to bottom but the loss of Wilson leaves a question mark, but I believe it will be fine there but to me that does put the coaching behind the likes of Alabama, and even with Boise St (who also lost their offensive cordinator.) I can't give them a 9.5 because thats what I would give the Bammers, so I'll give my Sooners a 9.

    Talent: 9.5
    Coaching: 9.0
    ____________

    Total 18.5

    I almost wish we could give .25 rankings lol.

    The only team in the country that I think is on par and maybe a slight bit higher is the Crimson Tide.

    kldub4life

  • jadennis said...

    Again, the fact is, it's just really, really hard to win it all. I'm not sure why Mack Brown is held to a higher standard than other legendary coaches who ALSO only won or played for a couple championships in 12+ years (some in 20+ years).

    Mack is held to a higher standard because he is able to pick the 20-25 best players out of Texas and have his class almost filled right after junior day.

    Either he is recruiting wrong and not waiting till senior seasons to evaluate players or he is doing "less with more" than any other coach in the Big XII. The best players in the Big XII are normally players that Texas passed on. Oklahoma is the only occasionally exception to that rule. With that kind of recruiting advantage he shouldn't be losing as often as he does.

    It is really really hard to win it all. But Texas should be in the thick of it more often than they are with the advantages they have right now.

    I know they have talent. I was in the front row to see them dominate Nebraska last year. The only excuse to that team getting rolled by UCLA and missing a bowl is poor coaching. They had 85 of the best players in Texas from the previous five years.

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    Oryhara

  • Oryhara said...

    Mack is held to a higher standard because he is able to pick the 20-25 best players out of Texas and have his class almost filled right after junior day.

    Either he is recruiting wrong and not waiting till senior seasons to evaluate players or he is doing "less with more" than any other coach in the Big XII. The best players in the Big XII are normally players that Texas passed on. Oklahoma is the only occasionally exception to that rule. With that kind of recruiting advantage he shouldn't be losing as often as he does.

    It is really really hard to win it all. But Texas should be in the thick of it more often than they are with the advantages they have right now.

    I know they have talent. I was in the front row to see them dominate Nebraska last year. The only excuse to that team getting rolled by UCLA and missing a bowl is poor coaching. They had 85 of the best players in Texas from the previous five years.

    We get that you're just upset about Texas being 9-1 against Nebraska while in the Big 12, stop trolling.

    Could the edit function work worse?

    This post has been edited 3 times, most recently by Rivver on 6/11/2011 at 2:20 PM

    Rivver

  • Oryhara said...

    Mack is held to a higher standard because he is able to pick the 20-25 best players out of Texas and have his class almost filled right after junior day.

    Either he is recruiting wrong and not waiting till senior seasons to evaluate players or he is doing "less with more" than any other coach in the Big XII. The best players in the Big XII are normally players that Texas passed on. Oklahoma is the only occasionally exception to that rule. With that kind of recruiting advantage he shouldn't be losing as often as he does.

    It is really really hard to win it all. But Texas should be in the thick of it more often than they are with the advantages they have right now.

    I know they have talent. I was in the front row to see them dominate Nebraska last year. The only excuse to that team getting rolled by UCLA and missing a bowl is poor coaching. They had 85 of the best players in Texas from the previous five years.

    I understand all that, but that doesn't change any of my comparisons and examples of all the other coaches that have won no more than Mack has. Maybe UT has an easier time getting their talent, but in the end, USC, LSU, Alabama, etc all still end up with just as much talent. Yet, they also lose games every year.

    Getting the talent locally and with ease doesn't make the talent BETTER, it just makes it local and easier to get. So that doesn't really change my comparisons to other programs and coaches like USC and Pete Carroll, or LSU and Les Miles. LSU gets just as much talent, yet Miles has one title on a 2-loss season (which is almost the same thing as not winning a title).

    I'm just saying that I think he's evaluated unfairly just because he gets lots of talent with relative ease. That doesn't make winning any easier. It just makes recruiting easier. Winning it all for Mack Brown is still just as difficult as it is for Pete Carroll, Les Miles, Nick Saban, Bob Stoops, or any of the other dozens of extremely successful coaches through the years that also only won 1 title in 12 years (Spurrier comes to mind).

    This post was edited by jadennis on 6/13/2011 at 10:32 AM

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    jadennis

  • kldub4life said...

    This being a 10 point based system has me think of your typical 100% grading system.

    I see my Sooners have an average so far of 17 (8.5/8.5)

    For talent purposes I understand 247's focus on recruiting and those stars that represent prospects. But in evaluating OU's current talent base the 2010 freshman class wasn't their best recruiting class from a stars point of view, but from the staff's point of view, program insiders, and performance last years class is amongst the best classes of the Stoops era.

    Also take into account that Broyles, Jones, and Lewis all are returning, and another Top 10 class I see it hard to make a case that there is another roster in America right now that is clearly more talented.

    Now there is a the fact that some programs have a 10 average right now in talent (just a cursory look showed alabama and LSU) but to me a 10 would be an all time talent level team and I don't see that right now, so I'll go OU 9.5 (if not for the 10's already being given I'd of only given the Sooners a 9.

    Coaching: last years staff I believe was as good as any staff in the country top to bottom but the loss of Wilson leaves a question mark, but I believe it will be fine there but to me that does put the coaching behind the likes of Alabama, and even with Boise St (who also lost their offensive cordinator.) I can't give them a 9.5 because thats what I would give the Bammers, so I'll give my Sooners a 9.

    Talent: 9.5 Coaching: 9.0 ____________

    Total 18.5

    I almost wish we could give .25 rankings lol.

    The only team in the country that I think is on par and maybe a slight bit higher is the Crimson Tide.

    1) Thanks for the response, I'll add it soon.

    2) Sorry for the delay in the updates. Had to go out of town this weekend for family reasons, I'll update the thread tonight.

    Michigan State does not and will not run the 3-4 defense.

    SpartanRocky

  • I understand this site is primarily (at least in the past) a recruiting based site.

    Someone pointed out in regards to talent the difference between 5 star recruits and 5 star talents.

    Take for instant Sam Bradford, I don't even recall what he was as a recruit but even living in the OKC metro area he wasn't a highly visible recruit. Someone might be able to pull it up but I'm betting he was at best a 3 star recruit. I think the last 4-5 years is pretty solid evidence that he is a 5 star talent.

    I bring this up to point out how funny it is to me when people throughout that Texas has its pickings of the top players in Texas every year. Maybe in recruiting circles there is some credence to this but all that shows is just how much of an in exact science it is.

    I'm not saying this to bash UT at all, I'm in agreement with one of their fans in this thread, saying they get whoever they want from the state is just not correct!!!

    Many have the view that Mack Brown in fact by signing so many top recruits early he is hurting the program because so many kids develope later. Just look at what the 2 Oregon schools mined for in Texas and came away with OSU the Rogers brothers, and Oregon with James and their QB.

    I went off on this not just due to this thread but on a more broad perspective.

    kldub4life

  • Alabama (10 Talent, 10 Coaching)=20

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    CrimsonTideGuy

  • Oklahoma

    Talent: 9.0
    Coaching: 8.5

    Sooner5020

  • For Alabama, I'll give Coaching a 9.0, simply due to the fact that we have a few new assistant coaches. Talent level, I'll give a 9.5. Overall 18.5

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    bcal16