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Really excited for the US Open this year. Going to be an interesting test for these players.
This is a picture of the rough at Merion.
Who is everyone picking?
at that rough
This is my favorite tournament of the year for sure.
Getting off the tee and scrambling are going to be of utmost importance. Putting obviously as well.
As always I'll be watching Tiger and when Tiger isn't playing I won't be watching.
Rough is pretty crazy and this is a very narrow course by today's standards. I think it is going to be a completely different test than what we are used to seeing at the US Open.
If McDowell is making his putts I could see him being a big factor. He has always played well at the Open and is very accurate.
I'm in, my bad Aussie!!!
National Director of Scouting & Recruiting Analyst
I'm liking Graeme McDowell too this week. Very good course for him.
This rough plus being wet = a very tough test.
Can't sit too far back for the second shots either though, as it's not going to be easy to get at pins. Of course, the wet conditions will make it easier to get the longer iron shots to hold on tough greens.
I will let it slide this time.
Jesus Christ @ that rough
It looks pretty brutal. Keeping it the fairway is going to be key.
What is everyone's prediction at what the winner will finish at?
I don't know the conditions but if they are wet like Gerry said I am not sure how that will effect things. In one regard it might soften the greens but it will also make the course play longer and the rough brutal.
I think I am going with -2. I might change that after I see how the practice rounds are going.
I'm gonna say -6. Somebody is going to spend a lot of time on the fairways, take the "easy" pars instead of going for birdies, and hit a few crazy putts.
Okay, so I really don't have a reason, I just had a vision of -6 at the top of a leaderboard.
Ernie Els said today that he expects this US Open to give up a lot of birdies if the course stays wet. He seems to think the winner will be well under par. No chance to shoot low if you re not in the fairway though.
Soft greens, short course...-15'ish
G-Mac is a good choice--former Open champ ('10), and he's spent the last 3 weeks huddled with his coach, too--a rarity for him over the last year.
Zach Johnson, Kuchar, and any of the bombers whom are strong off the tee will be a threat as well.
Tiger vs. the field? Normally, I'd take the field, but since he'll be hitting a variety of stingers with his 2 and 3 iron, along with his new 3W, he won't hit driver very often which can work in his favor--he'll be near the lead on Sunday.
Merion's short, and today's players don't have to shape the ball there anymore--they simply pick sight lines for relatively straight shots, hit their yardage, and hope they're somewhere near the top in strokes-gained/putting.
Ancient course, no sub-air and soft, SOFT greens? I can see the winning total around -5 to -8, unless Mother Nature does a complete about-face.
The only defense the course will have is that the USGA is going to tuck pins like a mother---almost questionable placements to level the playing field for such a soft track; and that rough?...that'll be the great equalizer - as gnarly as the rough appears in the picture shown by the OP, it will only be nastier by Thursday....and they will NOT be cutting it....brutal.
i wont go that low but it won't be the -3 under we are accustomed to.
Sarah sorry about the Herpes.
I can see a 64-65 or two being shot this week.
I just down see how the course can defend itself against the field if the greens aren't as hard and extremely fast as desired.
-6 to -8
On a side note, just scored tickets to the U.S. Senior Open next month in Omaha
My guess would be with evil pin placements.
I agree, but with the shortness of the course and the soft greens...not sure the course can withstand the battle.
Holes 7-13...I think we'll see a -4 or -5 stretch from someone, or a few people.
Either way, it's going to be a terrific tourney. I'm more than pumped about it being at an old school course.
Very true. Cannot wait to see how it plays out. Sounds like if you don't hit a lot of fairways, you won't be there for the weekend.
I see the winner being lower than usual for the U.S. Open. It might be approaching double digits under par, but the rough is so think and the course won't be quite as soggy by the weekend probably. The pins are also gonna be tucked and the par 3s are tough outside of 13. Had tiger not looked so bad at Memorial, I couldn't pick against him. Still think hell be around, but I expect Scott, Fowler, and Mahan to be in contention.
I played today with a couple buddies. They're much more golf savvy than I am, and they were semi-complaining already about the Open. Said they were looking forward to a great one, but they felt the moisture was going to help dramatically on a short course, and they were kind of bummed about it. I gotta tell you, I've played a lot of golf and I'm not very good at it.... so no matter what the scores are, I'm in awe watching those guys play. To me, being a consistent top 10-20 guy on the PGA tour is as impressive an individual feat as anything in sports. I'm sure he was being a little facetious, but my buddy made a comment along the lines of "with all the damn rain, winner probably finishes -30".
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