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Anyone who dismissed Nate Silver must be feeling pretty silly right now. Silver's model is 49-for-49 among states that have been called, and if Florida is called for Obama, Silver will have completed a clean sweep.
Chalk one up for math.
President Obama has been elected to another term in the White House. FiveThirtyEight followed developments throughout the night.
My interpretation is that Obama will win Florida and it's only a matter of time. Am I wrong?
I think that's accurate. Most of the outstanding votes are in Dade County, a liberal bastion. It's highly unlikely that Romney wins Florida, and hopefully the country will be spared the expense of a recount, since all Florida does is make Romney's loss marginally less embarrassing.
Boy, that gatorphi guy just got it WILDLY wrong.
3 time POTW, member since 2006, MLWTI: 4-3
Stats are fun.
Time and change will surely (truly) show
How firm thy friendship ... OHIO!
That they are. I also love that Silver's reputation is now pretty much ironclad. He staked his entire reputation on the accuracy of this election, and prevailed handily, despite all the cries of "liberal bias."
I haven't been monitoring local Florida news - is there any talk of a recount brewing?
Looks like we don't have to vote next time.
Romney won Jacksonville and a lot of North Florida, but Obama pretty much won South Florida
Aaaaand the downvotes start coming in. Angry people still can't come to terms with the fact that hard mathematics won out.
Just read that thread with cuznchips meltdown, lulz. Clown.
Math is crap. I'll take real votes tallied. Wait, the real numbers back the math? Dude got lucky. It's not like there were that many toss ups anyway, so he just got lucky in like 8 states. Not impressed.
lets be honest here. 49 for 49 is no accomplishment
it really comes down to about 6-8 states so who gives a crap about the other 42-44 states just bumping his percentage.
and even then, 3-4 of the "swing" states couldve been figured out beforehand as well.
so, he was able to guess 3-4 states correctly.
$50 bet with Rebels10 - Best of 3 Egg Bowls
**the $50 goes to others schools athletics dept**
The guy predicted the election essentially spot on. No one else came close to doing the same using actual data, the only others who might have predicted properly were speaking out of their ass.
Silver is a boss, end of story.
This makes the second straight election in which he has accurately predicted every major swing state. If he was just that lucky, he'd be cleaning up in Vegas.
The fact of the matter is that the man has been able to do what no one else has - come up with a model capable of accurately predicting the winner of a presidential election with almost 100% accuracy. There is no guesswork involved. Silver's model shows what is going to happen - there isn't a single bit of luck or guessing necessary for the success of the model.
TIL people don't like Math
People sure get angry about things they don't understand.
Last night, campaign consultant Dan Levitan invented a new game on Twitter: Drunk Nate Silver, in which we imagine the things Americas the funniest thing on Twitter right now.
If Nate Silver's so good with his wizardry and witchcraft, why hasn't he won the lottery yet?
You may run like Hayes, but you hit like $*!#
No amount of statistics could help you win the lottery.
He knows that.
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