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Today we are releasing a new Crystal Ball protocol ...
In the event of a scheduled commitment press conference (where the exact announcement time has been set), all Crystal Ball predictions (and updates to previous predictions) must be made by 11:59 PM the previous day. This protocol only applies to scheduled press conferences.
One quick note that will occur ... Shortly after the announcement of a commitment, Analysts will be allowed to predict a different school than the school the prospect just committed to. In this event, an Analyst is predicting that a flip will occur and would receive significant points if proven correct later down the road.
Remember, we are building the point system to be based on days prior to the commitment. Although an analyst would receive little to no points for predicting commitments on the day of the announcement, we believe that making all final predictions occur the day before a scheduled announcement will help preserve the integrity of the Crystal Ball and its future as the commitment prediction engine for the recruiting industry.
We released the Crystal Ball on April 15 and it has been one of the more popular features our industry has seen in years. We appreciate your feedback and we are continuing to build on the product and work through the various protocols.
This post has been edited 2 times, most recently by Lucky 11 months ago
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So with Tre Williams having a press conference Wednesday all predictions must be mad by midnight tomorrow?
Any chance you will let users make predictions privately? It would be interesting to make it a competition of sorts for your users.
Perhaps a poll? Poll on TBB and put as the fans pick?
I think the poll is a great idea, also is there any way there can be a list on the schools page of anyone predicted to go to that school?
I asked this of Luke on GatorBait247 when this info first came out about the crystal ball feature a couple of months ago. He said he thought that this was in the works so that members would be able to partake in the whole crystal ball feature as well. If thats true then you have to assume that the current level of usage is a Beta for a larger rollout with members at some point later. They can't give us everything at once, gotta spread out the upgrades and perks.
Beatings will continue until morale improves
If my memory serves me correctly, Lucky himself said that a feature like that would be included down the road.
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The user prediction part of Crystal Ball will roll out Spring 2014.
Should we assume that points will only be awarded once a player signs with a school? Or if a player flips schools, could an analyst actually get points multiple times for the same prospect?
That is, if a prospect commits to Team A and analysts get points, will they also get points if he later flips to Team B and they predict that correctly?
It seems like you'd want points to be awarded before NSD, but it hardly seems worthwhile for people to double up on prospects. Heck, with the way the southern prospects change hands, the guys who cover the south will rack up points like crazy.
Points will likely be awarded when the recruit commits so that we may have a leaderboard throughout the year. If the recruit switches, any old points for the previous school will be removed and anyone with the new school will get points based on how far out and other potential factors. We really have not dug into this much because board rewrite is the top priority right now and all of our back-end guys are on that or All Access Pass.
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I was going to aske the same question, that's great that users will be able to predict as well. I love the idea of getting points for correct predictions and like the pro's I hope it is shut off at 11:59 the day before a commitment is expected to announce.
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Definitely coming. It would be late Spring 2014. It's one thing to create it for a controlled group of admins, and another for any user on the network. It's amazing how differently groups of users use our site compared to most admins.
I plan on releasing a large board upgrade in Spring 2014 (board rewrite still on schedule for this summer, but won't likely have new features). User Crystal Ball would come in right after that, but until we begin to work on it, I couldn't tell you how easy/hard it's going to be.
hopefully soon yall will stick the date of the player's commitment on the crystal ball page too
so we can see how far out the prediction was made
This will be a game changer. If it's implemented with a good mix of competition/practicality, users are going to flock to 247.
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