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Dear America

  • Topspin1 said...

    Has it ever occured to anyone that this economic meltdown is intentional? Does anyone really understand what is going on in our financial industry and how easy it is for someone to collaspe this economy? Would you be suprised if I told you that this country has been put out to pasture and that its not personal, its business.......Would you believe that 100% of the mortgages in this country are fraudulant, and are not enforceable in a court of LAW. Would you believe that you are the creditor and not the debtor? Of course not, how could all of this be......

    Dumb post of the day.

    TroyTide

  • TroyTide said...

    The government cannot spend us out of a recession. It has never worked and will not work now. Also the government doesn't create jobs, business does.

    The USSR thought the government would be good at creating jobs too. They were wrong. As Europe has been for years now. And we were in the 30s. Government can't stimulate an economy beyond the short term. Every time a government tries this it has a short term effect and when the money runs out the recession is back.

    It's a stupid policy that ultimately only increases the national debt and creates bigger problems down the road.

    while this is sort of true, it is also sort of false.

    when an economy falls into recession, the things you can do to get out of it are all about timing.

    directly after the big fall, when you become zero bound, government spending can be the smartest thing you do...

    of course, economies do not behave normally when you are zero bound... Keynes was well ahead of his time

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    GoingLightBarny

  • TroyTide said...

    The government cannot spend us out of a recession. It has never worked and will not work now. Also the government doesn't create jobs, business does.

    The USSR thought the government would be good at creating jobs too. They were wrong. As Europe has been for years now. And we were in the 30s. Government can't stimulate an economy beyond the short term. Every time a government tries this it has a short term effect and when the money runs out the recession is back.

    It's a stupid policy that ultimately only increases the national debt and creates bigger problems down the road.

    1) Government spending can indeed stimulate growth
    2)The government can indeed create jobs (what do you call the effects of spending indirectly---infrastructure spending causing contractors to hire workers--- and the direct creation in the public sector--- teachers,cops,court clerks,prison guards,firefighters,janitors at government buildings etc. etc.

    Does the government create jobs as fruitful or as well or as efficiently as the private sector? No, but government is supposed to provide a civic service to citizens.

    3) It's fecetious to compare communism to Keynesian spending. No one is talking about taking away property rights and the government owning everything. Not even close.

    4) Broadly using Europe as an example of government as the problem is just as fecetious. Northern European economics have and have had vibrant private and public sectors,low debt,balanced budgets and manage to have all the benefits of a mixed economy.
    UK is more like us than Southern Europe.Now Souther on Europe is a mess. I'll admit that. They have it wrong. They have there own systemic problems (housing bubbles,high levels of consumer and public debt), but they were killed by our financial crisis (ironically they might return the favor).

    5) You provided no example of a Kenysian expansion returning to a recession. Not sure how you can make that claim.

    6)You made another false claim. Spending does not necessarily add to the debt (it can be offset by revenue increases and/or cuts that are minimal in demand effect). Spending or borrowing in which in contributes to GDP can in fact LOWER the debt to GDP ratio. If we sold $1T 10 year bonds at 1.7%(with inflation at greater than 2%) to repair and expand our infrastructure, we would actually be increasing out GDP while paying back less than we borrowed.

    Banks aren't lending, consumers aren't spending. To push the economy, something has to stimulate demand and spending is exponentially more of a multiplier than any other form of stimulus.

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    "A political call, the fall guy accord...We can't afford to be neutral on a moving train..."

    BamaLivesFootba

  • Best approach: Expect nothing. Get something.

    Working two part time jobs right now, and an internship. The part time jobs take care of me now. The internship is in the hope that I gain experience that sets me up better for life after college.

    Life gets a lot better when you're not waiting on a hand to feed you.

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    BornToBeRed

  • BornToBeRed said...

    Best approach: Expect nothing. Get something.

    Working two part time jobs right now, and an internship. The part time jobs take care of me now. The internship is in the hope that I gain experience that sets me up better for life after college.

    Life gets a lot better when you're not waiting on a hand to feed you.

    No one is talking about hand outs. The article explicitly states fair share of LABOR....as in work

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    "A political call, the fall guy accord...We can't afford to be neutral on a moving train..."

    BamaLivesFootba

  • GoingLightBarny said...

    while this is sort of true, it is also sort of false.

    when an economy falls into recession, the things you can do to get out of it are all about timing.

    directly after the big fall, when you become zero bound, government spending can be the smartest thing you do...

    of course, economies do not behave normally when you are zero bound... Keynes was well ahead of his time

    Sure, stimulus can stop the initial fall. But it has to be well spent and a plan to grow the economy after the initial injection of Gov. cash has to follow.

    Ideally spend on infrastructure and things society needs, obviously this benefits us in two ways, then a plan to encourage business growth has to be put in place. As much as it pains some people, part of this is cutting taxes and loosening unnecessary regulations etc. BTW taxes don't have to stay low forever just long enough. Do this right you stop the economy from crashing and ensure an expedited recovery in which you should be able to reclaim the cash you injected into the spending projects etc. and have an improved infrastructure military or whatever.

    Unfortunately governments tend to only favor the stimulus aspect. Well that doesn't work long term. Infrastructure projects can't go on forever. And the longer you have to borrow the worse financial shape you are putting your country in.

    Or even worse instead of spending on things like infrastructure you bail out financial institutions and industry. Which interrupts the painful but necessary process of creative destruction and sets a terrible precedent for the future by causing business in those industries to be less risk adverse because they think they might be bailed out again. Not to mention this type of stimulus only funnels money to a few places.

    It takes both, but we can't get both unfortunately.

    TroyTide

  • BamaLivesFootba said...

    1) Government spending can indeed stimulate growth 2)The government can indeed create jobs (what do you call the effects of spending indirectly---infrastructure spending causing contractors to hire workers--- and the direct creation in the public sector--- teachers,cops,court clerks,prison guards,firefighters,janitors at government buildings etc. etc.

    Does the government create jobs as fruitful or as well or as efficiently as the private sector? No, but government is supposed to provide a civic service to citizens.

    3) It's fecetious to compare communism to Keynesian spending. No one is talking about taking away property rights and the government owning everything. Not even close.

    4) Broadly using Europe as an example of government as the problem is just as fecetious. Northern European economics have and have had vibrant private and public sectors,low debt,balanced budgets and manage to have all the benefits of a mixed economy. UK is more like us than Southern Europe.Now Souther on Europe is a mess. I'll admit that. They have it wrong. They have there own systemic problems (housing bubbles,high levels of consumer and public debt), but they were killed by our financial crisis (ironically they might return the favor).

    5) You provided no example of a Kenysian expansion returning to a recession. Not sure how you can make that claim.

    6)You made another false claim. Spending does not necessarily add to the debt (it can be offset by revenue increases and/or cuts that are minimal in demand effect). Spending or borrowing in which in contributes to GDP can in fact LOWER the debt to GDP ratio. If we sold $1T 10 year bonds at 1.7%(with inflation at greater than 2%) to repair and expand our infrastructure, we would actually be increasing out GDP while paying back less than we borrowed.

    Banks aren't lending, consumers aren't spending. To push the economy, something has to stimulate demand and spending is exponentially more of a multiplier than any other form of stimulus.

    Long post. LOL. I am not going to respond to it all but:

    5) The Great Depression. There were several stages of spending during the depression. When the government spending was in high gear on things like infrastructure projects etc things were better. When those projects would be completed things would worsen again. That's why for over a decade it didn't work, the government couldn't spend enough to keep the economy afloat forever and infrastructure projects can't go on indefinitely.

    6.) In that scenario sure. But we are spending and the economy is not growing fast enough. So we are indeed going deeper into debt. We haven't spent a dime on anything that matters. Entitlement programs and things of that nature won't grow an economy.

    TroyTide

  • TroyTide said...

    Sure, stimulus can stop the initial fall. But it has to be well spent and a plan to grow the economy after the initial injection of Gov. cash has to follow.

    Ideally spend on infrastructure and things society needs, obviously this benefits us in two ways, then a plan to encourage business growth has to be put in place. As much as it pains some people, part of this is cutting taxes and loosening unnecessary regulations etc. BTW taxes don't have to stay low forever just long enough. Do this right you stop the economy from crashing and ensure an expedited recovery in which you should be able to reclaim the cash you injected into the spending projects etc. and have an improved infrastructure military or whatever.

    Unfortunately governments tend to only favor the stimulus aspect. Well that doesn't work long term. Infrastructure projects can't go on forever. And the longer you have to borrow the worse financial shape you are putting your country in.

    Or even worse instead of spending on things like infrastructure you bail out financial institutions and industry. Which interrupts the painful but necessary process of creative destruction and sets a terrible precedent for the future by causing business in those industries to be less risk adverse because they think they might be bailed out again. Not to mention this type of stimulus only funnels money to a few places.

    It takes both, but we can't get both unfortunately.

    all in all, the cutting regulations is the normalthink ideal.

    of course, as we saw with the last black monday, that was complete foolishness.

    deregulating industry does not free up the industry to make more money. letting the inmates run the asylum is more what it boils down to... there is no altruism in profit, regardless of what anyone says

    there are very few unnecessary regulations on business. wisdom has shown us that regulations actually help businesses to be responsible to stakeholders. this is not to say that business is evil, but business without conscience, the pure capitalism model, clearly is.

    coroporations are not benevolent creatures that will do the right thing because the right thing is always aligned with the most profitable thing, Ayn Rand's dumbass be damned.

    there needs to be more leverage toward the rights of the worker... at some point, the division of wealth will be so slanted that all power in the hands of the worker will vanish, as, the overlords can just shut their factories down and ship all the jobs off to wherever... hell, they are soon getting to the point where even if everyone struck and boycotted, they wouldn't care, they could sit on their wealth for 100s of generations.

    imbalance such as this do not serve anyone

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    GoingLightBarny

  • GoingLightBarny said...

    all in all, the cutting regulations is the normalthink ideal.

    of course, as we saw with the last black monday, that was complete foolishness.

    deregulating industry does not free up the industry to make more money. letting the inmates run the asylum is more what it boils down to... there is no altruism in profit, regardless of what anyone says

    there are very few unnecessary regulations on business. wisdom has shown us that regulations actually help businesses to be responsible to stakeholders. this is not to say that business is evil, but business without conscience, the pure capitalism model, clearly is.

    coroporations are not benevolent creatures that will do the right thing because the right thing is always aligned with the most profitable thing, Ayn Rand's dumbass be damned.

    there needs to be more leverage toward the rights of the worker... at some point, the division of wealth will be so slanted that all power in the hands of the worker will vanish, as, the overlords can just shut their factories down and ship all the jobs off to wherever... hell, they are soon getting to the point where even if everyone struck and boycotted, they wouldn't care, they could sit on their wealth for 100s of generations.

    imbalance such as this do not serve anyone

    I disagree on unecessary regulations.

    I don't think any rational person wants to cut regulations that are good and help reel business in.

    But many are redundant and just plain stupid or overly complicated. Our ridiculous tax code being an example of the latter. It should not be necessary for a small business to spend thousands just to file its taxes. Or have to send the same form to multiple agencies etc.

    The way the government works with business in this country could be greatly improved.

    TroyTide

  • TroyTide said...

    I disagree on unecessary regulations.

    I don't think any rational person wants to cut regulations that are good and help reel business in.

    But many are redundant and just plain stupid or overly complicated. Our ridiculous tax code being an example of the latter. It should not be necessary for a small business to spend thousands just to file its taxes. Or have to send the same form to multiple agencies etc.

    The way the government works with business in this country could be greatly improved.

    clarification of tax codes, yeah... that makes perfect sense.

    also, create tax codes without built in loopholes for the rich

    redundancy, though, is generally a byproduct of the need to clarify codes... most of the redundancy comes from the law trying to convey the spirit of the law because, if you haven't noticed, many corporations try to shirk the law when they can. The statues become much more redundant every time there is a challenge, or some corporation gets away with breaking the law due to it not being crystal clear on every single little way the law can be bent.

    now, if it was life and death, like if a ceo could be put to death for a wrongful interpretation of the law, well, i bet that would fix it.

    i would say there are less unnecessary regulations than you think... trying to enforce corporate law is like trying to raise kids. for example, say you outlaw the color blue. well, next thing you know, corporations are all like, they said blue, not periwinkle...

    getting rid of lawyers, writing things in plain english with stiff penalties for trying to get around it, those types of things would vastly improve the corporate climate... you know, then those creepy bastards would just settle for following the damn law

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    GoingLightBarny

  • BamaLivesFootba said...

    Wrong. We have become less dependent on foreign oil. We are producing more,importing less and renewables are growing.

    Solar and wind have not reached its full technological efficiency or cost efficiency.

    We can produce more energy via solar,wind,hydroelectric,nuclear,and natural gas to never had to use oil again.

    We need to be exporting oil,coal and natural gas, not using it.

    Never have to use oil again. You are delusional. I'm for all kinds of energy when their prices can compete with oil & coal. Not drive oil & coal prices up. The technology will get there in 50 years for solar & wind to become competitive. Until then we need to drill. Not impose drilling freeze in the gulf or veto pipelines.

    lestat

  • Ayn Rand's dumbass be damned.

    Heresy!

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    King CedarCrest

  • lestat said...

    Never have to use oil again. You are delusional. I'm for all kinds of energy when their prices can compete with oil & coal. Not drive oil & coal prices up. The technology will get there in 50 years for solar & wind to become competitive. Until then we need to drill. Not impose drilling freeze in the gulf or veto pipelines.

    Gulf drilling freeze was short term and ended two years ago. We've already discussed the pipeline and it will not bring the price of gasoline down for the nation (only for the region of the Midwest possibly).

    And no,I'm not delusional. I'm sorry I'd rather have revolutionize our economy so that we can export dirty resources to other countries while we use cheap,clean energy to power our homes, businesses, and cars. The only things that would need oil would be by-products and big trucks and that's about it,but even that would probably transition out.

    Completely erasing our trade deficit, cleaning our air (and in turn having healthier citizens and lower health costs),being immune from oil price destalization, lower energy costs freeing up on spending elsewhere, no buying oil from enemies,and all the other benefits from an economic revolution (see England 1750, US 1870,US 1950-1970,US 1990s).

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    "A political call, the fall guy accord...We can't afford to be neutral on a moving train..."

    BamaLivesFootba

  • TroyTide said...

    Long post. LOL. I am not going to respond to it all but:

    5) The Great Depression. There were several stages of spending during the depression. When the government spending was in high gear on things like infrastructure projects etc things were better. When those projects would be completed things would worsen again. That's why for over a decade it didn't work, the government couldn't spend enough to keep the economy afloat forever and infrastructure projects can't go on indefinitely.

    6.) In that scenario sure. But we are spending and the economy is not growing fast enough. So we are indeed going deeper into debt. We haven't spent a dime on anything that matters. Entitlement programs and things of that nature won't grow an economy.

    I'm going to preface this post with one statement: not all economic downturns are similar and not all are comparable.

    First you're wrong about the Great Depression. Just completely wrong. After FDR was elected, yes there were spending programs put forth and they worked magnificently (GDP growth was positive until 1937 and unemployment dropped 15-17% in four years). Now where you are wrong is that is that it was nowhere near Keynesian budget deficits of magnificent proportions (the largest budget deficit was only 3%---even more small compared to modern budgets in real dollar terms).

    The recession of 1937 was not wholly caused by a drop in spending. Some argue confectionary fiscal policy, but it was more a mix of cuts in spending and RAISES in taxes. Now, in and of itself, cuts in spending and saying when the government stops it doesn't work, doesn't cut it. Where it matters is when you stop. Stopping at 11% unemployment is not when you stop.

    Now WWII came and all was well, so we can only stop for there, but the 1930s was not just spending by the way. FDR met with all types of groups and put forth many different (sometimes contradictory)ideas.

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    "A political call, the fall guy accord...We can't afford to be neutral on a moving train..."

    BamaLivesFootba