-
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
VTSmitty
- 5 stars Rating: 92
7451 votes total - All Conference
- (10314)
- 16 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Aussie ●
- 5 stars Rating: 85
5300 votes total - Valar Morghulis
- Heisman
- (40183)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Aussie ●
- 5 stars Rating: 85
5300 votes total - Valar Morghulis
- Heisman
- (40183)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
callen05 said...
Take it or leave it, Nate Silver gives Obama a 90% chance of winning.
I have tickets for a talk he's giving on Friday, he could hear a lot of crickets if he's wrong.
Nov. 5: Late Poll Gains for Obama Leave Romney With Longer Odds - NYTimes.com
President Obama appears to have gained ground in the closing days of the race: among 12 national polls published on Monday, he led Mitt Romney by an average of 1.6 percentage points.
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.comTrevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
CMXI
- 5 stars Rating: 89
6935 votes total - Starter
- (9963)
- 15 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
purple_rein
- 5 stars Rating: 90
557 votes total - Jr. Varsity
- (876)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Aussie ●
- 5 stars Rating: 85
5300 votes total - Valar Morghulis
- Heisman
- (40183)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
CMXI said...
Nate Silver is an example of what we need out of statisticians and scientists these days - he's made his model, he's tested it extensively, and he stands by it. He's staked his reputation on the success of his model, and so far, it's passed every test with flying colors.
I appreciate this type of confidence and determination in conjunction with politics - it's a nice break from the flip-flopping and waffling.
Trevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
CMXI said...
Nate Silver is an example of what we need out of statisticians and scientists these days - he's made his model, he's tested it extensively, and he stands by it. He's staked his reputation on the success of his model, and so far, it's passed every test with flying colors.
I appreciate this type of confidence and determination in conjunction with politics - it's a nice break from the flip-flopping and waffling.
Time and change will surely (truly) show How firm thy friendship ... OHIO!
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Status
- 4 stars Rating: 61
4018 votes total - Starter
- (6779)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
CMXI
- 5 stars Rating: 89
6935 votes total - Starter
- (9963)
- 15 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes said...
I disagree completely. Again, his job is to analyze the polls. If the polls are wrong based on how they have performed historically, that's not on him. If anything, he could write articles for months analyzing why the polls were wrong, and how they need to adjust in the future, etc.
Time and change will surely (truly) show How firm thy friendship ... OHIO!
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Status
- 4 stars Rating: 61
4018 votes total - Starter
- (6779)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
VTSmitty
- 5 stars Rating: 92
7451 votes total - All Conference
- (10314)
- 16 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
CMXI
- 5 stars Rating: 89
6935 votes total - Starter
- (9963)
- 15 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Status said...
It's not really an opinion. His equations are predicting the same Obama turnout in 2012 as 2008. Anyone with half a brain knows this will not happen. Just like anyone with half a brain could have predicted an Obama victory in 2008.
Time and change will surely (truly) show How firm thy friendship ... OHIO!
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes said...
Think of Nate Silver as the AP poll of politics. All he does is aggregate all of the different polls and analyze them based on how they've performed in the past. Does the AP poll ALWAYS predict who wins the national championship every season? No, but it usually does a decent job. Even if #1 lost in the championship game the year before, people are still pretty interested in who is ranked #1 the following season.
Time and change will surely (truly) show How firm thy friendship ... OHIO!
callen05 ●
- 5 stars Rating: 94
1878 votes total - Starter
- (6400)
- 27 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
-
Trevor Barnes
- 4 stars Rating: 75
15733 votes total - Benevolent Communist Dictator
- Starter
- (9913)
- 29 months
- Send Message
- Follow User
- Ignore User
- Post a New Topic
- Back to Topics
- « Previous Topic
- Next Topic »
- Boards ▾
- Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ... | 38
Election Results thread