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Ichabod ●
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Ichabod ●
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SpartanRocky said...
Sorry, I'm going to call BS on this. If ND was recruiting in the 40s and 50s nationally, then you could point to tougher academic standards. Going by the recruiting rankings, ND recruits above all of their regular opponents except USC. They're on par with Michigan. They, if you consider these recruiting rankings to be viable, pull in top 15-20 talent every year.
They get more talent than Va. Tech, Stanford, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Arkansas, Penn State. Here are their 2008-2013 rankings on TOS (just because 247 doesn't go back to 2008)
2008: #2 class, 3 5-stars, 16 4-stars
2009: #21, 1 5-star, 9 4-stars
2010: #14, 10 4-stars
2011: #10, 2 5-stars, 8 4-stars
2012: #20, 1 5-star, 8 4-stars
2013: #8, 1 5-star, 7 4-stars (14 commits so far)
Just taking 2009-2012, that's 4 5-stars and 35 4-stars. If even 1/2 of the 2008 4-stars are on the team that gives them 43 4-stars and a combined 47 4 and 5-stars on the roster. In other words, they have enough players to fill out a 2-deep on BOTH sides of the ball with nothing but 4 and 5-star guys.
Either ND recruits, as a whole, are poorly evaluated by the recruiting services, or ND does less with more than just about any squad in the country. When you bring in that level of talent on paper, you should be doing better than 8-4/7-5, especially vs. schedules that feature 2-3 service academies, BC, Wake, Purdue, Pitt and others.
irishyoung
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MrWoodson said...
How does Oregon do it? Or Oklahoma? Or Nebraska? Or Stanford? Or Boise? Or Michigan? ND is not located in Texas or California or Florida, but neither are most elite programs. And even the elite programs in those states have had significant down periods, most notably when they've hired the wrong coaches. I'm not saying Minnesota could do that. Or Kansas. But ND has as much or more in terms of history, tradition, facilities, academics, money, and media/brand value as any the other elite programs. The only thing they are missing is the right coach.
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BetterOff said...
It helps that those schools (Stanford excluded) can recruit a lot of players that Notre Dame can't even talk to because of admissions requirements. Not say that is the only issue, but I think it is the most important. Without the ability to have a chance at the prospects everyone else does (for the most part), they are at a huge disadvantage in getting a top name coach to begin with. The coach is a secondary issue, IMO.
Ichabod ●
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MrWoodson said...
Then explain why Stanford has been mediocre for most of its history. And FWIW the majority of Stanford's players are not from California (only 3 of 22 players in their 2012 class were from Cali). That argument might explain USC's success but it does not explain Stanford's. The difference between Stanford historically and Stanford the last five years is one thing: Jim Harbaugh.
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SpartanRocky said...
Sorry, I'm going to call BS on this. If ND was recruiting in the 40s and 50s nationally, then you could point to tougher academic standards. Going by the recruiting rankings, ND recruits above all of their regular opponents except USC. They're on par with Michigan. They, if you consider these recruiting rankings to be viable, pull in top 15-20 talent every year.
They get more talent than Va. Tech, Stanford, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Oklahoma State, Kansas State, Arkansas, Penn State. Here are their 2008-2013 rankings on TOS (just because 247 doesn't go back to 2008)
2008: #2 class, 3 5-stars, 16 4-stars
2009: #21, 1 5-star, 9 4-stars
2010: #14, 10 4-stars
2011: #10, 2 5-stars, 8 4-stars
2012: #20, 1 5-star, 8 4-stars
2013: #8, 1 5-star, 7 4-stars (14 commits so far)
Just taking 2009-2012, that's 4 5-stars and 35 4-stars. If even 1/2 of the 2008 4-stars are on the team that gives them 43 4-stars and a combined 47 4 and 5-stars on the roster. In other words, they have enough players to fill out a 2-deep on BOTH sides of the ball with nothing but 4 and 5-star guys.
Either ND recruits, as a whole, are poorly evaluated by the recruiting services, or ND does less with more than just about any squad in the country. When you bring in that level of talent on paper, you should be doing better than 8-4/7-5, especially vs. schedules that feature 2-3 service academies, BC, Wake, Purdue, Pitt and others.
Really what I think it has to do with is coaching continuity, or rather, a lack thereof. Since Holtz I think ND has changed coaches nearly as often as MSU, and moreover, they've changed O/D systems with every coach from Willingham on.
Seriously, Willingham took at option team to the West Coast O, then was fired, Weiss came in, adapted the West Coast scheme to more of a downfield pro-team, then was fired, then Kelly came in and shifted AGAIN, this time to a spread attack.
Notre Dame lacks an identity, and has refused to accept the fact that they aren't just a year or two away from competing nationally. They need to give a guy 5+ years to really build a program, because constant coaching shuffling only hurts.
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BetterOff
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MrWoodson said...
How does Oregon do it? Or Oklahoma? Or Nebraska? Or Stanford? Or Boise? Or Michigan? ND is not located in Texas or California or Florida, but neither are most elite programs. And even the elite programs in those states have had significant down periods, most notably when they've hired the wrong coaches. I'm not saying Minnesota could do that. Or Kansas. But ND has as much or more in terms of history, tradition, facilities, academics, money, and media/brand value as any of the other elite programs. The only thing they are missing is the right coach.
usctrojanglory ●
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Ichabod ●
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Ichabod said...
Notre Dame is a private school so we can't find out how much they bring in but when it has a tv deal for just one school then I'm fairly certain it's one of the top schools profiting.
You're putting to much stock into winning for how much a school is worth. My point from the beginning is that Notre Dame is a nationally known university. Not just in football but academics as well.
I have them estimated correctly. I really need a laptop in front of me to better explain but I'm away from my house all day
This post was edited by TalHawkins112 on 6/21/2012 at 1:47 PM
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usctrojan1 said...
Exactly. But I will say, now that Stanford has a taste of success again, their elite academic reputation will pull in kids from all over the country that excel in both academics and athletics. A small base, but enough to consistently field a damn fine team.
Stanford will be consistenly very good if they wish to be.
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SpartanRocky
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BetterOff
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Ichabod ●
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irishyoung
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Ichabod said...
Like I said I really need a computer to show you.
I did a research paper on athletics and money brought in so I have the Bama numbers and the money brought in plus profits made.
But I'm not trying to argue about who makes more and that. My original point was that Notre Dame is a much more recognizable brand than Alabama and Texas.
While Texas and Alabama are THE brands here in the South, nationally it is Notre Dame. When you are the national brand nationally then the media is gonna hype you more. The average American doesn't have great media literacy so they take whatever is said on TV to be actual and not slanted.
I could really go on and on and analyze certain areas and show examples but I don't have the resources nor the time available with just an iPhone
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SpartanRocky said...
Ok, I get "from time to time", but how much are we talking here? Nearly 50 high level recruits are in the ND program from time to time. Even if HALF of them are over-rated (which would be horrible on the part of the recruiting services), that's still talent comparable to a Va. Tech, Standford or a Michigan State.
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BetterOff said...
It helps that those schools (Stanford excluded) can recruit a lot of players that Notre Dame can't even talk to because of admissions requirements. Not say that is the only issue, but I think it is the most important. Without the ability to have a chance at the prospects everyone else does (for the most part), they are at a huge disadvantage in getting a top name coach to begin with. The coach is a secondary issue, IMO.
This post was edited by MrWoodson on 6/21/2012 at 2:05 PM
MrWoodson
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BetterOff said...
I agree that they have underachieved, but if you were to take deflate a recruit here and there, if that happened, then you are looking at a lot of classes in the 15-30 range, with one great year of recruiting.
Those rankings aren't going to guarantee anything. I love our (Bama's) recruiting, but I don't think the gap between the number one class and the number 15 class is always that great, but when you get further down it is.
Also, people like to act like Notre Dame has easy schedules, but they really don't. It could be compared to a B1G schedule with 2 big OOC games per year instead of just 1, IMO.
All your points about the coaching staffs are just as valid though. They haven't had a good coach since Holtz and that hurts as well.
Michigan State does not and will not run the 3-4 defense.
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usctrojanglory said...
Oregon has Nike money behind them.Nike is the "IT" thing.Oregon also sits atop California.OU and Nebraska already had a rich traditions just like ND.OU is also next to Texas and close to Dallas.Define returning for me?Is ND about to be on the level of Alabama,Texas,OU,OSU,UF,LSU,USC or are they about to the equivalent of say UGA?Stanford has had a mini run.If you're saying that ND can have a mini run then sure most teams can.I'm saying they will never be ELITE again.UM an Nebraska aren't ELITE.
This post was edited by MrWoodson on 6/21/2012 at 2:33 PM
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MrWoodson said...
Since 1970, UM has a winning record against OSU, Alabama and UF. We are 0-1 against both Oklahoma and and Texas (both close losses) and have not played LSU. The only team in the country we have a significant losing record against is USC. Of course, most of the schools you listed probably do not have winning records against USC. Pete Carroll was one of the best coaches in CFB history. It will be interesting to see how USC fares under Coach Kiffin.
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How long does ND continue to get preferential treatment?