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Safe - Is there even a safe pick here? I would say they are all a risk pick, but if I had to choose one it would be Geno Smith as he has a good arm and studies the game well.
Risk - EJ Manuel - He looks great on the surface, and has show sparks of being great. Good arm, test well, but on the field he can look very bad as well. He could have the highest upside of all QBs in this class, but also could be the first to consider a bust. Matt Barkley would be next in line here, he is all over the place from 2011-2013.
Safe - Benard - He test well, and his film looks great. He has great speed, and can run between the tackles well. Good feet in the hole, but not elite. Good prototypical RB at 5'8 202.
Risk - Knile Davis - Off the chart athleticism. Great year in 2011 and was a known freak at the RB position. So what happened? Was Arkansas just that bad, or was it him? He could be the steal of the draft, but you may end up with a great athlete, that never could correlated to the field.
Safe - Patterson - He has the highest upside, and will see the field as a Rookie IMO. He has amazing vision with the ball in his hands, his speed is tremendous, and the deep ball is where he could excel in the future. Big physical man who needs to work on catching with his hands a little more.
Risk - Da'Rick Rodgers - Off the field issues, and was known to overpower a smaller DB to get open. Somethings dont correlate to the NFL and he wont be able to do that in the NFL. Not a homerun threat, but shows signs of being a great possession WR, If he can get his work in he could be a good WR, i dont think he has the tools to be Elite in yards, but his hands are very good for a big physical possession WR.
Safe - Warmack - You know what you are getting when he is on the field. Great Run-blocker, and is like a statue vs the pass. Elite footwork, and should be an easy place guy at OG in the future.
Risk - Fluker - All Bama homer aside - Fluker is a freak of a man, with an amazing attitude on and off the field. Big time "pump up" guy. However he was in the 360 range and had some trouble with his quickness off the edge. He has dropped a lot of weight and looks the part of a good RT that has a chance at LT. But with the NFL becoming a pass heavy league, how much longer till an Elite pass blocker is on the board and the value of running behind Fluker is not there?
Safe - Star - He is the safest pick because he can play at DE in a 3-4 or DT in a 4-3. He has a great motor, and is very powerful at the point. Needs to keep his eyes in the backfield more, but he has all the physical tools to play both positions.
Risk - Mingo - no one questions his speed off the edge, he is an amazing athlete with a huge upside. But is that with his hand in the dirt or not? What will you get from him at OLB if he is not powerful enough at the point at DE? With this being a pass heavy league will he ever have to drop back into coverage? He has a huge upside, but who knows where he may fit into a system just yet.
Safe - Arthur Brown and Kevin Minter - Both are quick, with Arthur Brown being a faster of the two sideline to sideline. Both are very instinctive and can play the pass and the run. Both played on well coached defenses and led them both to good years on that side of the ball.
Risk - If i didnt say Teo id be lying, but he is a huge risk. He is slow, but made up for it with his instincts...right? Or was he just playing behind a great line that made him look very good against below average offenses? Yes he had a few picks, but most of them were very easy, and he did not play well at the line of scrimmage as show on ESPNs Film Room before the NC game. He was in a zone coverage a lot. IMO he is an average LB whos actual skill set would not correlate to the NFL.
But thats everyone's pick here so ill say another that could be a high risk - Jamie Collins from Southern Miss. An elite athlete who destroyed the combine. He is 6'3 250 pounds running a 4.63, an amazing vertical and broad jump and has a very explosive lower body. However he is not common to winning and the competition has not been very good. Is he the definition of the "underwear champ" or can he be a huge part of defense in the NFL. Both are possible
Safe - Has to be Milliner. He has shown his elite speed as well as being able to blanket any WR. He is physical in press, and will have to tweak his technique slightly at the next level. He is a better CB against the pass than any CB coming out of Alabama including Kareem Jackson. No off field issues, and a great true CB. The only question is his strength in the run game, can he tackle in open space.
Risk - Honey Badger is the common pick but i just dont think he is good enough in coverage to be used at on defense. So i will go with Leon McFadden from SDSU. He has very good ball skills and is a good cover corner, but he gives up a few inches against bigger WR. He has the speed and quickness to be very good, but his strength and tackling are a negative. If he can work on those he has a large ceiling as great cover corner.
Safe- Eric Reid - prototypical head hunting S. He is not amazing in coverage but has great ball skills and has tenacity in that that department. Played on a great defense and could be a great one.
Risk - Tony Jefferson - Very small for a S in the NFL, but is very fluid in coverage. Has to put on weight to be productive at the position, but will he loose his speed or gain it? Depending on which way he could end up being move to CB where he will have lots of trouble making the adjustment, or could he gain the weight to increase his tackling and his speed?
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