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BamaLivesFootba said...
From most to least likely to need replacement based on age: Ginsburg, Scalia,Kennedy, Breyer,Thomas,Alito, Roberts,Sotomayor,Kagan.
Of those,only four are in their seventies with Ginsburg being 79.
That would put the composition of those four at one liberal,one split,and two conservative and by age of replacement: liberal,conservative,split,conservative.
IYAM, if Obama wins Ginsburg retires and he replaces her with someone similar. The other three seventies seem to be fine in terms of health and stuff,so I think they stay on past next term.
So I doubt BO gets a chance to replace anybody that would be of concern to right.
Now if say a Dem wins again in 2016,then it would be a worry for ya.
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goodnews
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goodnews said...
I think any of the three mentioned would be good choices, but for different reasons. Rubio is the obvious choice, but maybe he's too perfect. He young, conservative, hispanic, from Florida. He's very well spoken and seems well informed for a young guy. Jindal is an obvious pick as from the perspective of conservatives.. He'd wipe the floor with Biden in the debates, and would come across as a nice guy who knows his stuff. Chistie is something of an enigma for me. He's a political superstar, of sorts, in certain circles, and will probably eventually run for President. He might help Romney woo conservatives with his smooth talking style even though both are moderates. He might even help steal NJ for Romney. I'm a little worried that the Romney/Christie ticket might not rally the base though.
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EF_Wolverine said...
Christie would be a terrible choice. The base has more or less embraced Romney just because beating Obama is priority #1, but picking Christie as VP would sour many of the conservatives who have begrudgingly warmed up to Romney. Christie's a good speaker and yeah, he'd humiliate Biden in any VP debate; but who wouldn't? Biden's a laughingstock and an embarrassment to the administration. And while Christie is popular in NJ, that's NJ only. His presence on the ticket wouldn't swing the state toward the GOP, it's a pretty dark shade of blue. Same thing sort of applies in Wisconsin; Scott Walker is heavily favored to survive the recall election, but Obama is still comfortably ahead of Romney in the state right now.
I could get on board with Rubio. Not sure if he'd "deliver" Florida - or if he'd even need to. Same goes for somebody like Rob Portman from Ohio or McDowell from Virginia.
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goodnews said...
Thanks for your post Wolverine. Respectfully, I don't think either of us could definitively aver regarding Christie. I could see him turning off some in the GOP and I could see him attracting enough independents to justify his candidacy. You're correct that conservatives have warmed to Romney out of necessity. But, i think most conservatives are desperate enough to get Obama out of office that they'd vote for Bill Clinton in order to make a change. I really think Romney's got the GOP base motivated simply b/c he's not Obama. Adding a northern moderate probably won't hurt, IMO, and would only help with moderates and even some Reagan type Dems. I could be wrong. And please don't put Florida in the win column yet. I actually think Rubio is the best candidate b/c of his appeal to hispanics (maybe he could deliver an additional 10% nationwide, which would be big) and deliver FL. Romney absolutely has to have FL.
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EF_Wolverine said...
Definitely not putting Florida in the win column yet (or Ohio, or Virginia), just pointing out that if the current trend continues (most recent poll from Florida has Romney +6), he may not need Rubio on the ticket to win.
I wonder how much of a factor that would be in Romney's VP pick, anyway.
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