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theharbinater said...
this is same thing, but all time (note, only includes conf games)
1. Big Eight (809-42-20)--0.94030[1] (30.24-10.03) (20.21) (2830-4934-314)--0.36977 2. Big 12 (390-34-0)--0.91981 (38.25-18.13) (20.12) (2058-2555-20)--0.44636 3. Big East (304-27-1)--0.91717 (33.95-15.71) (18.24) (1412-2089-22)--0.40392 4. Big Ten (1711-137-41)--0.91662[2] (27.87-10.67) (17.20) (6773-9784-553)--0.41201 5. SEC (1515-119-43)--0.91622[3]* (26.84-11.13) (15.71) (7207-8779-452)--0.45218 6. ACC (613-74-6)--0.88889 (32.00-16.38) (15.62) (2999-4259-63)--0.41395 7. PAC-12 (1394-153-32)--0.89297[4]* (27.95-12.82) (15.13) (6035-8529-461)--0.41700 8. Southwest (964-76-32)--0.91418 (24.82-10.08) (14.73) (3891-5686-443)--0.41043
same thing again, but last 20 years (1992-2011): 1. Southwest (54-3-1)--0.93966 (36.64-16.12) (20.52) (162-395-23)--0.29914 2. Big 12 (370-30-0)--0.92500 (38.25-17.76) (20.49) (1922-2427-0)--0.44194 3. Big Eight (60-3-1)--0.94531 (33.61-14.08) (19.53) (225-404-23)--0.36273 4. Big East (280-24-1)--0.91967 (34.53-15.74) (18.78) (1291-1928-22)--0.40173 5. SEC (471-37-2)--0.92549[1]* (31.63-15.55) (16.09) (2485-2963-23)--0.45632 6. Big Ten (421-45-2)--0.90171[2] (32.28-16.37) (15.91) (2160-2885-26)--0.42852 7. ACC (380-54-0)--0.87558 (32.66-17.21) (15.45) (1989-2688-0)--0.42527 8. PAC-12 (389-53-1)--0.87923[3]* (33.66-19.61) (14.05) (2042-2698-6)--0.43089
last 10 (02-11) 1. Big 12 (220-22-0)--0.90909 (39.12-19.36) (19.77) (1281-1448-0)--0.46940 2. Big Ten (214-18-0)--0.92241[1] (32.50-16.66) (15.84) (1154-1462-0)--0.44113 3. SEC (232-14-0)--0.94309 (31.33-15.67) (15.65) (1319-1450-0)--0.47635 4. PAC-12 (202-31-0)--0.86695[2] (35.04-19.73) (15.31) (1069-1523-0)--0.41242 5. Big East (135-16-0)--0.89404 (31.79-17.49) (14.30) (770-910-0)--0.45833 6. ACC (199-39-0)--0.83613 (30.24-18.02) (12.22) (1197-1478-0)--0.44748
last 5 (07-11): 1. Big 12 (113-12-0)--0.90400 (39.70-20.46) (19.25) (664-763-0)--0.46531 2. PAC-12 (110-17-0)--0.86614 (35.27-19.04) (16.23) (546-892-0)--0.37969 3. SEC (112-10-0)--0.91803 (31.74-15.92) (15.82) (742-675-0)--0.52364 4. Big Ten (103-11-0)--0.90351[1] (32.28-16.68) (15.61) (598-714-0)--0.45579 5. Big East (67-11-0)--0.85897 (30.24-17.96) (12.28) (435-452-0)--0.49042 6. ACC (103-23-0)--0.81746 (30.20-19.39) (10.81) (654-793-0)--0.45197
trying to find the point where sec and bigten both ratcheted up the point margin.
last 3 (09-11): 1. Big 12 (66-7-0)--0.90411 (37.55-19.62) (17.93) (398-439-0)--0.47551 2. SEC (69-3-0)--0.95833 (31.22-14.07) (17.15) (437-403-0)--0.52024 3. Big Ten (63-7-0)--0.90000[1] (32.89-17.06) (15.83) (368-442-0)--0.45432 4. PAC-12 (67-10-0)--0.87013 (33.75-19.79) (13.96) (348-525-0)--0.39863 5. ACC (67-13-0)--0.83750 (31.60-19.80) (11.80) (397-516-0)--0.43483 6. Big East (40-6-0)--0.86957 (28.67-18.20) (10.48) (260-263-0)--0.49713
sec going up a little, bigten not yet.
2010 only: 1. Big Ten (19-1-0)--0.95000[1] (38.00-17.80) (20.20) (117-115-0)--0.50431 2. Big 12 (22-2-0)--0.91667 (35.75-15.67) (20.08) (134-140-0)--0.48905 3. ACC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (31.38-16.12) (15.27) (135-166-0)--0.44850 4. SEC (21-1-0)--0.95455 (32.86-18.64) (14.23) (129-128-0)--0.50195 5. PAC-12 (21-3-0)--0.87500 (33.00-20.21) (12.79) (113-155-0)--0.42164 6. Big East (13-3-0)--0.81250 (23.31-14.00) (9.31) (89-95-0)--0.48370
sec went back down, bigten went way up.
and just last year (2011): 1. SEC (29-1-0)--0.96667 (32.43-10.90) (21.53) (174-174-0)--0.50000 2. Big Ten (23-3-0)--0.88462[1] (32.42-16.19) (16.23) (136-169-0)--0.44590 3. Big 12 (22-3-0)--0.88000 (41.04-25.60) (15.44) (137-153-0)--0.47241 4. PAC-12 (25-4-0)--0.86207 (35.62-22.14) (13.48) (136-199-0)--0.40597 5. Big East (13-2-0)--0.86667 (31.07-23.33) (7.73) (73-92-0)--0.44242 6. ACC (23-5-0)--0.82143 (30.50-23.04) (7.46) (135-183-0)--0.42453
sec way up, bigten back down.
after looking at the sec over last 20 years, this isn't linear. it's just all over the place, which isn't really surprising. some years there are a handful of teams just a ton better than everyone else in conf (2011 sec), some years there are a bunch of ok/good teams but none great (2012 big12).
last 20 years for sec, in order of point margin: 1. 1996 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833 (35.62-11.58) (24.04) (110-133-0)--0.45267 2. 2012 SEC (32-0-0)--1.00000 (37.19-15.56) (21.62) (148-204-8)--0.42222 3. 2011 SEC (29-1-0)--0.96667 (32.43-10.90) (21.53) (174-174-0)--0.50000 4. 1993 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833[1]* (34.50-13.54) (20.96) (108-125-9)--0.46488 5. 1995 SEC (24-1-1)--0.94231 (35.15-15.38) (19.77) (108-153-3)--0.41477 6. 1994 SEC (24-1-1)--0.94231 (35.23-16.00) (19.23) (111-149-3)--0.42776 7. 2008 SEC (22-2-0)--0.91667 (33.42-14.29) (19.12) (146-131-0)--0.52708 8. 2003 SEC (26-0-0)--1.00000 (34.08-15.73) (18.35) (111-184-0)--0.37627 9. 1998 SEC (28-2-0)--0.93333 (32.33-15.03) (17.30) (126-186-0)--0.40385 10. 2004 SEC (22-0-0)--1.00000 (33.00-16.91) (16.09) (96-130-0)--0.42478 11. 2002 SEC (24-2-0)--0.92308 (30.12-14.85) (15.27) (125-167-0)--0.42808 12. 2005 SEC (25-1-0)--0.96154 (29.42-14.19) (15.23) (100-160-0)--0.38462 13. 1997 SEC (24-2-0)--0.92308 (30.42-15.35) (15.08) (131-133-0)--0.49621 14. 2010 SEC (21-1-0)--0.95455 (32.86-18.64) (14.23) (129-128-0)--0.50195 15. 2009 SEC (19-1-0)--0.95000 (27.60-13.80) (13.80) (134-101-0)--0.57021 16. 2001 SEC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (32.42-19.00) (13.42) (112-157-0)--0.41636 17. 1992 SEC (24-4-0)--0.85714 (26.79-13.54) (13.25) (113-162-8)--0.41343 18. 2006 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833 (28.08-15.71) (12.38) (145-134-0)--0.51971 19. 2000 SEC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (30.65-18.46) (12.19) (116-156-0)--0.42647 20. 1999 SEC (25-3-0)--0.89286 (27.25-16.11) (11.14) (131-159-0)--0.45172 21. 2007 SEC (21-5-0)--0.80769 (31.62-22.54) (9.08) (159-141-0)--0.53000
Resurgent Vol
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theharbinater
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theharbinater said...
this is same thing, but all time (note, only includes conf games)
1. Big Eight (809-42-20)--0.94030[1] (30.24-10.03) (20.21) (2830-4934-314)--0.36977
2. Big 12 (390-34-0)--0.91981 (38.25-18.13) (20.12) (2058-2555-20)--0.44636
3. Big East (304-27-1)--0.91717 (33.95-15.71) (18.24) (1412-2089-22)--0.40392
4. Big Ten (1711-137-41)--0.91662[2] (27.87-10.67) (17.20) (6773-9784-553)--0.41201
5. SEC (1515-119-43)--0.91622[3]* (26.84-11.13) (15.71) (7207-8779-452)--0.45218
6. ACC (613-74-6)--0.88889 (32.00-16.38) (15.62) (2999-4259-63)--0.41395
7. PAC-12 (1394-153-32)--0.89297[4]* (27.95-12.82) (15.13) (6035-8529-461)--0.41700
8. Southwest (964-76-32)--0.91418 (24.82-10.08) (14.73) (3891-5686-443)--0.41043same thing again, but last 20 years (1992-2011):
1. Southwest (54-3-1)--0.93966 (36.64-16.12) (20.52) (162-395-23)--0.29914
2. Big 12 (370-30-0)--0.92500 (38.25-17.76) (20.49) (1922-2427-0)--0.44194
3. Big Eight (60-3-1)--0.94531 (33.61-14.08) (19.53) (225-404-23)--0.36273
4. Big East (280-24-1)--0.91967 (34.53-15.74) (18.78) (1291-1928-22)--0.40173
5. SEC (471-37-2)--0.92549[1]* (31.63-15.55) (16.09) (2485-2963-23)--0.45632
6. Big Ten (421-45-2)--0.90171[2] (32.28-16.37) (15.91) (2160-2885-26)--0.42852
7. ACC (380-54-0)--0.87558 (32.66-17.21) (15.45) (1989-2688-0)--0.42527
8. PAC-12 (389-53-1)--0.87923[3]* (33.66-19.61) (14.05) (2042-2698-6)--0.43089last 10 (02-11)
1. Big 12 (220-22-0)--0.90909 (39.12-19.36) (19.77) (1281-1448-0)--0.46940
2. Big Ten (214-18-0)--0.92241[1] (32.50-16.66) (15.84) (1154-1462-0)--0.44113
3. SEC (232-14-0)--0.94309 (31.33-15.67) (15.65) (1319-1450-0)--0.47635
4. PAC-12 (202-31-0)--0.86695[2] (35.04-19.73) (15.31) (1069-1523-0)--0.41242
5. Big East (135-16-0)--0.89404 (31.79-17.49) (14.30) (770-910-0)--0.45833
6. ACC (199-39-0)--0.83613 (30.24-18.02) (12.22) (1197-1478-0)--0.44748last 5 (07-11):
1. Big 12 (113-12-0)--0.90400 (39.70-20.46) (19.25) (664-763-0)--0.46531
2. PAC-12 (110-17-0)--0.86614 (35.27-19.04) (16.23) (546-892-0)--0.37969
3. SEC (112-10-0)--0.91803 (31.74-15.92) (15.82) (742-675-0)--0.52364
4. Big Ten (103-11-0)--0.90351[1] (32.28-16.68) (15.61) (598-714-0)--0.45579
5. Big East (67-11-0)--0.85897 (30.24-17.96) (12.28) (435-452-0)--0.49042
6. ACC (103-23-0)--0.81746 (30.20-19.39) (10.81) (654-793-0)--0.45197trying to find the point where sec and bigten both ratcheted up the point margin.
last 3 (09-11):
1. Big 12 (66-7-0)--0.90411 (37.55-19.62) (17.93) (398-439-0)--0.47551
2. SEC (69-3-0)--0.95833 (31.22-14.07) (17.15) (437-403-0)--0.52024
3. Big Ten (63-7-0)--0.90000[1] (32.89-17.06) (15.83) (368-442-0)--0.45432
4. PAC-12 (67-10-0)--0.87013 (33.75-19.79) (13.96) (348-525-0)--0.39863
5. ACC (67-13-0)--0.83750 (31.60-19.80) (11.80) (397-516-0)--0.43483
6. Big East (40-6-0)--0.86957 (28.67-18.20) (10.48) (260-263-0)--0.49713sec going up a little, bigten not yet.
2010 only:
1. Big Ten (19-1-0)--0.95000[1] (38.00-17.80) (20.20) (117-115-0)--0.50431
2. Big 12 (22-2-0)--0.91667 (35.75-15.67) (20.08) (134-140-0)--0.48905
3. ACC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (31.38-16.12) (15.27) (135-166-0)--0.44850
4. SEC (21-1-0)--0.95455 (32.86-18.64) (14.23) (129-128-0)--0.50195
5. PAC-12 (21-3-0)--0.87500 (33.00-20.21) (12.79) (113-155-0)--0.42164
6. Big East (13-3-0)--0.81250 (23.31-14.00) (9.31) (89-95-0)--0.48370sec went back down, bigten went way up.
and just last year (2011):
1. SEC (29-1-0)--0.96667 (32.43-10.90) (21.53) (174-174-0)--0.50000
2. Big Ten (23-3-0)--0.88462[1] (32.42-16.19) (16.23) (136-169-0)--0.44590
3. Big 12 (22-3-0)--0.88000 (41.04-25.60) (15.44) (137-153-0)--0.47241
4. PAC-12 (25-4-0)--0.86207 (35.62-22.14) (13.48) (136-199-0)--0.40597
5. Big East (13-2-0)--0.86667 (31.07-23.33) (7.73) (73-92-0)--0.44242
6. ACC (23-5-0)--0.82143 (30.50-23.04) (7.46) (135-183-0)--0.42453sec way up, bigten back down.
after looking at the sec over last 20 years, this isn't linear. it's just all over the place, which isn't really surprising. some years there are a handful of teams just a ton better than everyone else in conf (2011 sec), some years there are a bunch of ok/good teams but none great (2012 big12).
last 20 years for sec, in order of point margin:
1. 1996 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833 (35.62-11.58) (24.04) (110-133-0)--0.45267
2. 2012 SEC (32-0-0)--1.00000 (37.19-15.56) (21.62) (148-204-8)--0.42222
3. 2011 SEC (29-1-0)--0.96667 (32.43-10.90) (21.53) (174-174-0)--0.50000
4. 1993 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833[1]* (34.50-13.54) (20.96) (108-125-9)--0.46488
5. 1995 SEC (24-1-1)--0.94231 (35.15-15.38) (19.77) (108-153-3)--0.41477
6. 1994 SEC (24-1-1)--0.94231 (35.23-16.00) (19.23) (111-149-3)--0.42776
7. 2008 SEC (22-2-0)--0.91667 (33.42-14.29) (19.12) (146-131-0)--0.52708
8. 2003 SEC (26-0-0)--1.00000 (34.08-15.73) (18.35) (111-184-0)--0.37627
9. 1998 SEC (28-2-0)--0.93333 (32.33-15.03) (17.30) (126-186-0)--0.40385
10. 2004 SEC (22-0-0)--1.00000 (33.00-16.91) (16.09) (96-130-0)--0.42478
11. 2002 SEC (24-2-0)--0.92308 (30.12-14.85) (15.27) (125-167-0)--0.42808
12. 2005 SEC (25-1-0)--0.96154 (29.42-14.19) (15.23) (100-160-0)--0.38462
13. 1997 SEC (24-2-0)--0.92308 (30.42-15.35) (15.08) (131-133-0)--0.49621
14. 2010 SEC (21-1-0)--0.95455 (32.86-18.64) (14.23) (129-128-0)--0.50195
15. 2009 SEC (19-1-0)--0.95000 (27.60-13.80) (13.80) (134-101-0)--0.57021
16. 2001 SEC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (32.42-19.00) (13.42) (112-157-0)--0.41636
17. 1992 SEC (24-4-0)--0.85714 (26.79-13.54) (13.25) (113-162-8)--0.41343
18. 2006 SEC (23-1-0)--0.95833 (28.08-15.71) (12.38) (145-134-0)--0.51971
19. 2000 SEC (22-4-0)--0.84615 (30.65-18.46) (12.19) (116-156-0)--0.42647
20. 1999 SEC (25-3-0)--0.89286 (27.25-16.11) (11.14) (131-159-0)--0.45172
21. 2007 SEC (21-5-0)--0.80769 (31.62-22.54) (9.08) (159-141-0)--0.53000MrWoodson
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How did I get thrown under the bus with that pic? 
SEC on CBS - Ratings down 15% this year