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NcaaAssassinG13 said...
I apologize for going that direction, that was more for a certain few people that never want to have an intelligent discussion.
You do have some valid points and have some numbers I'll share when I get home later about what you said. Probably be able to post it by morning.
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FortWorthTide said...
Ok, here it is. Sorry for the formatting (I'm not too savvy with that kind of thing). These are in order of win percentage against teams from the listed group. The second number for each team is games against the group. I went back and forth about how to choose the group, and this is what I ultimately went with.
First, I took all teams with a .600 all time winning percentage.
Second, I eliminated all teams with below 1000 games played (got rid of Boise).
Third, ran the numbers for the first time.
Fourth, took out Miami (OH), Virginia Tech, and West Virginia. After looking at the results, they hadn't played enough games against the others in the group, weren't in the same conference as any other member of the group, and had the worst win percentages. West Virginia being left out does kind of hurt Penn State, but that brings me to the fifth thing I did.
Fifth, considered dropping Penn State and Washington, but did not. I kept these two because both were borderline, but in the same conference as another school on the list. I did not want to have any biases (for example, it would take away quite a bit from USC to have Washington removed) so I kept these in there. Again, Penn State may hate me for removing WVU, but at least I didn't pull you from the list all together. The final list is 16 teams.
Texas 0.612540193 311
Alabama 0.58131068 412
USC 0.570564516 248
Notre Dame 0.560538117 223
Michigan 0.559241706 211
Nebraska 0.508379888 179
Auburn 0.486215539 399
Oklahoma 0.484615385 260
Florida 0.481873112 331
Georgia 0.477839335 361
Tennessee 0.477586207 290
Ohio State 0.464824121 199
LSU 0.460294118 340
Penn St 0.399122807 114
Texas A&M 0.359683794 253
Washington 0.322916667 144
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FortWorthTide said...
Ok, here it is. Sorry for the formatting (I'm not too savvy with that kind of thing). These are in order of win percentage against teams from the listed group. The second number for each team is games against the group. I went back and forth about how to choose the group, and this is what I ultimately went with.
First, I took all teams with a .600 all time winning percentage.
Second, I eliminated all teams with below 1000 games played (got rid of Boise).
Third, ran the numbers for the first time.
Fourth, took out Miami (OH), Virginia Tech, and West Virginia. After looking at the results, they hadn't played enough games against the others in the group, weren't in the same conference as any other member of the group, and had the worst win percentages. West Virginia being left out does kind of hurt Penn State, but that brings me to the fifth thing I did.
Fifth, considered dropping Penn State and Washington, but did not. I kept these two because both were borderline, but in the same conference as another school on the list. I did not want to have any biases (for example, it would take away quite a bit from USC to have Washington removed) so I kept these in there. Again, Penn State may hate me for removing WVU, but at least I didn't pull you from the list all together. The final list is 16 teams.
Texas 0.612540193 311
Alabama 0.58131068 412
USC 0.570564516 248
Notre Dame 0.560538117 223
Michigan 0.559241706 211
Nebraska 0.508379888 179
Auburn 0.486215539 399
Oklahoma 0.484615385 260
Florida 0.481873112 331
Georgia 0.477839335 361
Tennessee 0.477586207 290
Ohio State 0.464824121 199
LSU 0.460294118 340
Penn St 0.399122807 114
Texas A&M 0.359683794 253
Washington 0.322916667 144
This post was edited by NcaaAssassinG13 on 1/3/2013 at 8:07 AM
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FortWorthTide said...
Very interesting numbers. I'd say we now have three sets of data.
1) the blue bloods (your original list)
2) the elite teams (my list)
3) solid programs (your second list)It is interesting to see how the numbers change against the different sets of teams.
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NcaaAssassinG13 said...
SEC (Thru 2/1/2012)
All-Time OOC games vs teams above .500
==================================
Alabama - 53%
Georgia - 49%
LSU - 48%
Tennessee - 47%
Auburn - 46%
Ole Miss - 43%
Florida - 42%
Miss State - 38%
Arkansas - 36%
Kentucky - 36%
Vanderbilt - 34%****************
South Car - 26%
***************SEC (.412)
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JRol003 said...
The thing about this whole thread, though I am quite impressed with all the number crunching (if I ever become a billionaire and need some financial advisors into creating my own business, I may hit up some of ya'll!), is that as said in the very first post, none of it really makes a difference in the game monday, and honestly, the only thing I would argue and consider really relevant is the previous two years in the history of a team...
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The .700 Club (The 8 blue bloods vs each other all-time)