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BamaLivesFootba ●
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BamaLivesFootba said...
It's going to take something that I'm not sure is possible anymore: a reasonable politician to step and say," Hey guys! We've been spending too much and been taxing too little. As a country, we need to choose how we want to fix that."
Personally, its going to be a "Lost Decade"-style stagnancy unless there is a magical growth driver. We are going to have to spend a little less and be taxed a little more. It's going to be a tough bullet to bite. I just hope it doesn't take another Depression or war for us to make the tough decisions.
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agourlay said...
I'm a total noobie with the stuff, just a uni student lol, but interesting thread. Got me wondering so I asked my dad what we have in Canada and I guess we have a VAT as well as income tax.
Personally, I think you guys are F'd for a long time haha. Too many stubborn idiots trying to equate any government action to communism. Same people are the ones asking the gov to ban gay marriage too haha. I really like how the PC gov up here is running things (well for the stuff I understand) but I'm biased being from Alberta as well as wanting to work in the oil patch :/
BamaLivesFootba ●
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i801568 ●
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BamaLivesFootba ●
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BamaLivesFootba said...
Even a flat income tax is regressive. The VAST majority of the country makes less than $250,000 a year and it is almost totally wages. Realistically, people that would be considered "poor", would be paying a higher percentage of their income as taxes under a flat tax then they would under the current law, while most people between the lower end of the line above poverty and the upper end of the line below wealthy would be paying about the same given that deductions would be taken away. People making above $250,000 would see their share of taxes fall dramatically since a) income would be taxed at a lower rate and b) most of their wealth is in investments and capital (which would now not be taxed).
menichols74 ●
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menichols74 said...
No a flat income tax is neutral, but slightly progressive if you want to get technical. See example below:
Say theshold for paying tax is set at $10,000 (your standard and only deduction) and the rate is 20%.
Individual 1 makes $11,000 - he would pay $200 ([11k-10k]*20%)in taxes for an effective tax rate of 200/11,000 or 1.8%
Individual 2 makes $40,000 - she would pay $6,000 in taxes for an effective tax rate of 6000/40000 or 15%As the income level goes up, the effective tax rate goes up asymptotically toward the flat tax rate, thus making it slightly progressive. This is simple math.
BamaLivesFootba ●
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menichols74 ●
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menichols74 said...
A flat tax is one tax rate for all brackets, but you get the one standard deduction. Basically you don't pay taxes until you reach X level of income and you pay Y rate for every dollar above that level. So as income goes up your approach the effective tax rate of Y.
The fair tax is neither progressive or regressive, but rather all voluntary. The pre-bate handles the concern of those that claim that it is regressive. Example work best for me, so here you go.
Let's assume the poverty level is $1000 per month for an individual and the "fair tax" rate is 20% (published rate is typically 23% and poverty is likely a bit higher, this is just for easy numbers).
Each legal resident (single) would receive a pre-bate of $200 per month, no matter how much you make. The $200 comes from $1,000 (poverty level) * the rate (20%) or in other words, the amount of taxes that you would pay if you just spent what is required to live. Thus all taxes paid are in essence voluntary. You don't have to buy the steak vice the hamburger, but if you have the money most people will spend more than what they need. This is a choice and thus the taxes you pay are a choice.
So the effective mandatory tax rate for the "fair tax" is 0%. The effective overall tax rate is a function of how much you spend beyond the poverty level and how much you make.
Effective tax rate for someone who makes $100K above poverty line and spends it all each year (plenty of these people) is 20%. Effective tax rate for a guy who makes $50K above poverty line and saves $20K (spends $30k) is 10% (50K*.20/60K). Now you can flip that to the miser rich guy at a really small % and the poor guy living beyond his means at 20%. It doesn't change the fact that you don't have to pay a dime if you choose to live small (and thus use fewer gov't services).
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CMXI
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TroyTide
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Harry Callahan said...
I'm republican as they come, but a flat tax is a bad idea. We need higher taxes because the democrats spend money on useless crap. If we ran a more efficient country with a smaller government, while focusing primarily on social programs to help the needy, a flat tax may be beneficial. However, we don't... and we never will.
We spend ridiculous money to protect wealthy individuals that stand to benefit from a democrat filled gov't. We also spend a ridiculous amount of money to protect wealthy individuals that stand to benefit from a republican filled gov't. At the end of the day, the only solution is to make as much money as you can and keep it from the hands of the idiots running this country.
Make your money, save it, and keep it from the government. It's what the wealthy do.
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CMXI
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CMXI said...
menichols' addressed regressivity in relation to income taxes, I'll address it in relation to a sales tax.
The definition of a regressive tax is a tax that falls disproportionately (in relation to percentage of income) on those who earn the least.
Say you have a national sales tax of 8%, and two people, person A (who makes $30,000/yr) and person B (who makes $100,000/yr). Maintaining this flat tax means that if A and B purchase the same item (let's say a $10,000 car), they each pay $800 in tax. However, that means person A is paying 2.66% of their income in tax, while B is paying 0.8% of their income in tax, despite making the exact same purchase.
Therefore, as you can see, a flat sales tax meets the definition of a regressive tax.
So, you may ask, what's the problem here? Why does it matter that A is paying a greater percentage of their income in tax?
Most everyday goods (food, toiletries, etc.) are relatively inelastic (demand doesn't rise/fall with price, since we all need food to survive), and are consumed in relatively similar quantities for each person. Thus, regardless of whether someone makes $30,000/yr or $100,000/yr, they'll still need to eat roughly similar amounts of food (let's say $5,000/yr for food expenses). In this example, A will pay 1.33% of their income in taxes, and B will pay only 0.4% of their income in taxes.
So, if you replace a federal income tax structure with a federal sales tax, rather than having everyone pay an equal percentage of their income, you're weighting it so that, no matter what, someone who earns less will be paying a higher tax rate than someone who earns more. Some will argue that those who earn more will consume more, thus paying more taxes, and subsequently a larger percentage of their income will go to taxes, but this is a false equivalency. Income taxes are designed so that, when taken out, everyone is essentially at zero when it comes to consumption.
Thus, to compare to a flat sales tax, we have to look at a flat sales tax assuming that everyone is at the same level (of consumption). As we can see from the above examples, if the level of consumption is consistent between two people, the one who earns less will always pay a higher tax rate.
menichols74 ●
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menichols74 said...
CMXI,
If it were a flat sales tax alone, you would be right. However the "Fair Tax" includes a pre-bate to every household for the taxes that they would pay up to the poverty level. Thus as explained above, the tax is neutral and the % of income you pay in taxes is completely up to the individual and their spending choices (note choices not requirements). Milk and bread are necessities, a 60" TV with all the cable channels is not.
Again, example (these are just numbers to illustrate a point):
* Assume poverty level is $1,000 per month
* Assume "Fair Tax" rate is 20%This would mean that you would spend $200 per month in taxes just buying the basic necessities. Under the "Fair Tax" you would get a monthly prebate of $200 (FT rate * poverty level) and thus pay a net of $0 in taxes on necessities. Everything you spend beyond necessities is a choice. A person making $2000 per month can choose whether or not to spend all none or a portion of the remaining $1,000.
The "Fair Tax" is not regressive.
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menichols74 said...
CMXI,
If it were a flat sales tax alone, you would be right. However the "Fair Tax" includes a pre-bate to every household for the taxes that they would pay up to the poverty level. Thus as explained above, the tax is neutral and the % of income you pay in taxes is completely up to the individual and their spending choices (note choices not requirements). Milk and bread are necessities, a 60" TV with all the cable channels is not.
Again, example (these are just numbers to illustrate a point): * Assume poverty level is $1,000 per month * Assume "Fair Tax" rate is 20%
This would mean that you would spend $200 per month in taxes just buying the basic necessities. Under the "Fair Tax" you would get a monthly prebate of $200 (FT rate * poverty level) and thus pay a net of $0 in taxes on necessities. Everything you spend beyond necessities is a choice. A person making $2000 per month can choose whether or not to spend all none or a portion of the remaining $1,000.
The "Fair Tax" is not regressive.
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