Online Now 3546

The Green Board

Where the madness isn't just in March.

On this Board 95
Record: 1310 (3/27/2012)

Online now 3402
Record: 18710 (2/25/2012)

Boards ▾

The Blue Board

We aren't just committed to college football; we're early enrolling in it.

247Rumors

College football scuttlebutt and scoop- powered by Football Rumor Mill

The Green Board

Where the madness isn't just in March.

Big Ten Board (Beta)

Reply

Bubble Watch / Bracketology

  • I have this thread on the MD board but figured I would bring it here too. Thought it would be good to have a running thread on all bubble related stuff. I also thought it would be good to pin this through Selection Sunday if people are cool with that. I usually update the numbers every morning/early afternoon.

    68 Bids: 31 Auto Bids, 37 At-Large

    Definite 1 Bid Ligs (13): SWAC, MEAC, America East, Southland, Big South, Northeast, Big Sky, Southern, Patriot, Atlantic Sun, Mid-American, CAA, Horizon

    Likely 1 Bid Ligs (7): Big West, Ohio Valley, MAAC, Sun Belt, Ivy, Summit, WAC

    Locks (33):
    ACC: Duke, North Carolina, Florida State
    Big 10: Ohio State, Michigan St, Wisconsin, Indiana, Michigan, Purdue
    Big 12: Kansas, Missouri, Baylor, Kansas St, Iowa St
    Big East: Syracuse, Georgetown, Marquette, Louisville, Notre Dame
    SEC: Kentucky, Vanderbilt, Florida, Alabama
    MWC:UNLV, San Diego State, New Mexico
    Other: Murray State, Gonzaga, St. Mary's, Temple, Southern Miss, Memphis, Wichita St

    On the Bubble, 15 Remaining Bids:

    ACC:
    Virginia (21-7) RPI-39 SOS-83
    Miami (16-10) RPI-54 SOS-37

    Big Ten:
    Northwestern (17-11) RPI-43 SOS-12
    Minnesota (17-11) RPI-80 SOS-50

    Big 12:
    Texas (18-11) RPI-53 SOS-25

    Big East:
    Connecticut (17-11) RPI-30 SOS-1
    West Virginia (17-12) RPI-47 SOS-9
    Seton Hall (19-10) RPI-44 SOS-31
    Cincinnati (20-8) RPI-74 SOS-110
    South Florida (16-11) RPI- 50 SOS-28

    SEC:
    Mississippi State (19-10) RPI-63 SOS-61
    LSU (17-11) RPI-68 SOS-57

    Pac 12:
    California (23-6) RPI-33 SOS-92
    Washington (20-8) RPI-49 SOS-74
    Arizona (21-9) RPI-69 SOS-96
    Oregon (19-8) RPI-55 SOS-78

    Atlantic 10:
    Saint Louis (21-6) RPI-36 SOS-108
    Xavier (18-10) RPI-52 SOS-51
    Dayton (18-10) RPI-61 SOS-53
    St. Josephs (19-11) RPI-51 SOS-45

    Other:
    Drexel (25-5) RPI-66 SOS-235
    UCF (18-8) RPI-64 SOS-107
    Colorado State (16-10) RPI-26 SOS-6
    BYU (22-7) RPI-48 SOS-105
    Middle Tennessee (24-5) RPI-46 SOS-173
    Iona (23-6) RPI-37 SOS-133
    Harvard (23-4) RPI-38 SOS-167
    Long Beach State (19-7) RPI-34 SOS-104
    Oral Roberts (26-5) RPI-42 SOS-172
    VCU (25-6) RPI-59 SOS-178

    This post has been edited 20 times, most recently by BklynTerp on 2/26/2012 at 10:45 AM

    BklynTerp

  • Great stuff. Thank you.

    OldOaken247 on twitter..... I say a lot of stuff you wont care about.

    Oaken

  • Creighton and Temple should be locks IMO.

    signature image

    Hawkifish

  • BklynTerp said...

    I have this thread on the MD board but figured I would bring it here too. Thought it would be good to have a running thread on all bubble related stuff. I also thought it would be good to pin this through Selection Sunday if people are cool with that. I usually update the numbers every morning/early afternoon.

    I appreciate the post. Thanks for doing the work.

    SDWolverine

  • The Pac12 is a mess this year. I don't think that they are going to sell out the conference tournament or even come close.

    SDWolverine

  • Hawkifish said...

    Creighton and Temple should be locks IMO.

    Yea, Im very close to moving both up. Creighton wins their next two and Ill move them up. As for Temple they already have 5 losses outside the top 50 with 2 being outside the top 100. They take care of business in their next 3 against poor teams and theyll be a lock.

    As for the Pac-12, Cal is probably the only team with any chance at an at-large. Even if UW wins out they finish the year with zero top 50 wins and 7 losses, not sure that gets it done. Cal wont have any top 50 wins either but if they win out they will be 26-5 (16-2) so their record alone might sneak them in. I expect they will drop a couple though and the Pac will end up being a 1-bid league.

    BklynTerp

  • Thanks for the info Terp.. good stuff.

    signature image signature image signature image

    BBucksorBeGone8 ●

  • BklynTerp said...

    Yea, Im very close to moving both up. Creighton wins their next two and Ill move them up. As for Temple they already have 5 losses outside the top 50 with 2 being outside the top 100. They take care of business in their next 3 against poor teams and theyll be a lock.

    As for the Pac-12, Cal is probably the only team with any chance at an at-large. Even if UW wins out they finish the year with zero top 50 wins and 7 losses, not sure that gets it done. Cal wont have any top 50 wins either but if they win out they will be 26-5 (16-2) so their record alone might sneak them in. I expect they will drop a couple though and the Pac will end up being a 1-bid league.

    I'm not trying to be too much of a UW homer here, but the Huskies in the past few years haven't started of well but have finished strong towards the end of the season and I think they do the same this year. There's so much talent and athleticism I think they end up getting it done.

    "The world is full of kings and queens who blind your eyes and steal your dreams" - Dio

    diablorojo961 ●

  • Borzello actually had UW as his first team out in his bracket today. Looking at it Ole Miss is the only team he left out that I would definitely want in over UW, the rest Im not sure about.

    Busting the Bracket

    http://www.bustingthebracket.com/

    www.bustingthebracket.com

    BklynTerp

  • Good stuff OP +1 for you.

    signature image signature image signature image

    spcbuzzard

  • preeeeeeeciate it

    $50 bet with Rebels10 - Best of 3 Egg Bowls Results 2012 - 2013 - 2014 - **the $50 goes to others schools athletics dept**

    msudawg12

  • msudawg12 said...

    preeeeeeeciate it

    Rumor has it that if you post around here you get an up vote. I'm just sayin...

    SDWolverine

  • Huge win for Illinois over Michigan state tonight.

    OldOaken247 on twitter..... I say a lot of stuff you wont care about.

    Oaken

  • OldOaken said...

    Huge win for Illinois over Michigan state tonight.

    Yes indeed. The trend continues. The BIG continues to beat itself up each night, except sadly, OSU might be pulling away.

    SDWolverine

  • Big home wins for Illinois, Iowa State and Arkansas tonight while Seton Hall and K-State miss chances for big road wins. New Mexico will avoid a slip up with a blowout road win at Air Force. A ton of huge games tomorrow.

    BklynTerp

  • Iowa State has to be in the "should be in" category after rallying from 14 down in the second half to beat K-State. It still has to play a pair of games against Baylor and road games against Missouri and Kansas State, but it looks to be a near certain bet to finish better than .500 in the conference. That coupled with a win over Kansas should cement a place for it in the tournament.

    bierce

  • bierce said...

    Iowa State has to be in the "should be in" category

    They are certainly building out the resume.

    SDWolverine

  • Indiana could very easily be on the bubble now

    OldOaken247 on twitter..... I say a lot of stuff you wont care about.

    Oaken

  • Some changes today as Florida State, Illinois, Louisville, Temple and Southern Miss move up to "locks" and UConn with its 4th straight loss moves down to the bubble. Tough losses for Minnesota (@Iowa) and Dayton (Duquesne) last night. Just 3 weeks ago Dayton was top 20 in RPI following a road win against Temple, been quite a fall for them.

    Biggest game of the year tonight for BYU at home against Gonzaga as BYU is still without a top 50 win. Northwestern also faces a must-win at home against Nebraska while Oral Roberts, Middle Tennessee and Iona are all in action needing to win to keep their slim at-large hopes alive.

    Oh and Indiana would have to seriously implode to miss out, I mean like 2-6 or something like that.

    BklynTerp

  • BklynTerp said...

    Oh and Indiana would have to seriously implode to miss out, I mean like 2-6 or something like that.

    Just saying sitting under .500 in conference right now is not a good thing. If they lose to PU on Saturday they will be 5-7 in conference.

    OldOaken247 on twitter..... I say a lot of stuff you wont care about.

    Oaken

  • BklynTerp, I appreciate this thread tremendously. Old Oaken and I watch the games. Maybe NOW they aren't bubble (they still may be), but if they keep this up they may end up as NIT champs.

    SDWolverine

  • bierce said...

    Iowa State has to be in the "should be in" category after rallying from 14 down in the second half to beat K-State. It still has to play a pair of games against Baylor and road games against Missouri and Kansas State, but it looks to be a near certain bet to finish better than .500 in the conference. That coupled with a win over Kansas should cement a place for it in the tournament.

    They still only have 3 top 50 wins. One or two more and I'd say they're a lock. I could see Kansas State on the road and Baylor at home as possible key victories. The next 3 are all winnable, @OU, @OSU, and A&M at home. Could easily see 3 wins there.

    signature image

    Hawkifish

  • Hawkifish said...

    They still only have 3 top 50 wins. One or two more and I'd say they're a lock. I could see Kansas State on the road and Baylor at home as possible key victories. The next 3 are all winnable, @OU, @OSU, and A&M at home. Could easily see 3 wins there.

    Which is why I put them in the "should be in" rather than the "lock" category.

    bierce

  • The ACC should be able to get five in this year if NC State can finish good.

    signature image signature image signature image

    duvalnole

  • OldOaken said...

    Indiana could very easily be on the bubble now

    think they will be fine.. they are just struggling with adversity... they ll figure it out

    signature image signature image signature image

    BBucksorBeGone8 ●

Football Recruiting
Basketball Recruiting
Features
Resources
Connect

247Sports In partnership with CBS Sports