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Big movers in latest Top247

A new five-star, plus two big movers from the states of Pennsylvania and California highlight the most recent release of the Top247.

Defensive end Jonathan Allen is the top prospect in the state of Virginia and the latest five-star according to 247Sports.

Look for more frequent updates of the Top247 during the spring camp/combine season and forthcoming evaluation period, including a round of updates next week after our recruiting team attends the Nike Football Training Camp, National Underclassmen Combine Five-Star Showcase and JuniorRank Diamond Flight Camps in Los Angeles, the MVP Camp in Atlanta and the NUC Five-Star Showcase in New Jersey.

Here are the highlights within the top 50

-Defensive end Jonathan Allen (Ashburn, Va./Stone Bridge) is the top prospect in the state of Virginia for the 2013 class. After reviewing film and receiving additional feedback on the 6-foot-3, 225-pound Allen, our team decided to move Allen to five-star status and rank him the No. 10 overall prospect in America. Alabama (he’s from that state) and other programs are in hot pursuit.

-After seeing safety Tahaan Goodman (Rancho Cucamonga, Calif.) in person again at the New Level Athletics Elite 7-on-7 last weekend in Las Vegas, we determined he is similar to other big safety prospects like Max Redfield and Leon McQuay III and moved him into their company to No. 38 overall nationally. Goodman’s range and ball skills are impressive. We expect his offer list to expand considerably in the coming weeks.

-When we watched offensive tackle Dorian Johnson (Belle Vernon, Pa.) on film, were floored that he did not have more offers. Shortly thereafter, Notre Dame, Alabama and host of additional schools entered the mix for the athletic 6-foot-6, 268-pounder and it’s clear he’s one of the top offensive tackle prospects in the country. Johnson goes from a high three-star prospect to the No. 39 overall prospect in America in this release.

-Florida linebacker commit Daniel McMillian (Jacksonville, Fla./First Coast) moved up nearly 70 spots to No. 43 overall after review of his film and getting additional feedback. He’s a big play waiting to happen at that spot.

-After getting additional feedback, we determined that quarterback Bucky Hodges (Virginia Beach, Va./Salem) has more upside, especially in the running game, than most of the signal callers in this class from an elite athleticism standpoint. He’s raw in the passing game (he completes a high percentage of his passes, but there are things he can improve upon) but if that can get fine-tuned, he could have a special career.

Link: Top247

About the 247Sports Rankings

Frequency



Our rankings are different than others in the sense that they constantly act as a "big board" of sorts with prospects moving up and down frequently. There is no standard "release" time for an update as we let the discovery process dictate that. We also do not set a pre-determined number of prospects to rank in states and at positions nationally- we simply rank as many as we can.

Already for the Class of 2013, we have ranked a significant number of prospects. 

http://247sports.com/Recruit/Rankings 

Grading Scale

At 247Sports, each recruit that we evaluate will be assigned a numerical rating as well as a star rating. The rankings are determined by our recruiting analysts after hours of personal observations, film evaluation and input from our network and other reliable sources of information.

Players are ranked by position, grouped qualitatively with a star ranking and given a numerical ranking based on their future potential.

The explanation for the numerical rankings is below.



110 - 101 = A player ranked in this range is a "franchise player." He is one of the best to come along in years - if not decades (LeBron James, Adrian Peterson). Odds of having a player in this category every year is slim. This prospect has “can’t miss” talent.



100 - 98 = Five-star prospect. One of the top 25 or so prospects in the nation. Player has excellent pro potential, and should emerge as one of the best players in the country before his college career ends.



97 - 90 = Four-star prospect. Prospect will be an impact-player for his college team. All-America candidate who displays pro potential. Typically one of the top 300 players in the nation.



89 - 80 = Three-star prospect. These are the players who will develop into reliable starters for the college teams. They are among the best players in their region of the country, and are generally among the top 750 players in the nation.

79 - below = Two-star prospect. These players make up the bulk of Division I rosters. They may have little pro potential, are likely to become role players for their respective schools or not enough is known about the prospect to rank them accurately.

Philosophy

Our philosophy, to account for the accelerated recruiting process, is to rank prospects earlier in their high school careers than what has been previously done in this business. Because a player can develop dramatically or not in a 2-3 year period in the sport of football, that’s going to make for greater movement in the rankings.

So it’s not out of the question that a player is No. 8 to begin with and finishes at No. 90 or he’s No. 187 and finishes No. 12. The delta for the player’s final ranking (which is what matters and what we should be judged on in that regard) is much wider during a 24-36 month period than an 8-12 month period.

Think of it (and I use this comparison often) as an NFL Draft “big board”.

Two years out, a player may be projected as a top five pick, but when all is said and done, after seasons on the field, combines and pro days, other types of evaluations, etc., he may slip to the third round or so.

I certainly am not saying that we are justified if we have a kid start out as a five star with a rating of 102 and end up as a two star with a rating of 75. That’s drastic and inconsistent. But we’ve found that it’s human nature for fans to look at a 30-40 spot drop in rankings and wonder what their favorite prospect going to their school “did wrong” or why we “don’t think he’s good”. Well, the drop doesn’t mean either, it just means when we re-adjusted everything, including the rankings of other prospects, said prospect fell to that particular point in the rankings. 



Rankings are fun for fans to debate, celebrate, complain about, etc., and they are fun for us to put together. That’s why we are going to push the envelope and get rankings out earlier- so you guys can enjoy them and learn about the prospects at an earlier date- so during things like junior days and late winter/early spring combines- you can really dig in and get a true sense of what is going on inside your favorite football program.

We do this for you guys. Obviously, we would be able to adjust less and claim we were 100 percent right and knew it the entire time more often if we waiting until June to do it, but transparency and serving our readers are two things we value highly at 247Sports.

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